Successful Minor League Pitchers: Class of 2013

This set of tables show careers of the top ten minor league pitchers from the class of 2013 who had MLB success this year.  WAA is not a stat suited for ranking  players who played less than a full season.  Since WAA measures wins a player brings his team, not playing a full season means he has less chances at providing wins. It is  incorrect to extrapolate WAA to a full season. Past events don’t necessarily predict future events.  A WAA can turn south quickly and it may be just as likely a WAA will go down as it is to go up. The only thing you can take from a positive WAA is that that pitcher played above average — which is great for a minor league player graduating from the minors. It means he might be able to survive and perhaps be more than just an average MLB player. Minor league pitchers in this class can be ranked together however because they’re all in the same boat — they all played a partial year in the majors.

This list was derived by searching through the 2013 rosters of AAA, AA, and A+ and checking them against the 2013 MLB roster. These were then sorted by MLB WAA only allowing for pitchers with > 50 MLB innings pitched to be included. Less than 50 innings pitched introduces statistical anomalies.  Pitchers can have lucky streaks with few innings pitched posting higher than normal WAAs which wouldn’t properly reflect that player’s value. A couple of pitchers with very low ERAs were not included but they should show up on the list for next year.

These pitchers represent the top ten WAA out of 180  players who spent significant playing time in the minors this year.  Many of the 180 have been in and out of MLB several times. This and other lists to come will only show first time “graduating” minor league players. The next post will list the 2013 Class of batters.  Although batters and pitchers can be valued together through WAA I thought it would be easier to view them separately for this analysis.

After the Class of 2013 I’ll introduce the Class of 2012 and 2011. Most of the best of the 2012 class should have played an entire 2013 season in MLB which will give them a proper WAA valuation.  The 2011 should have played two full seasons but we’ll be sorting only on this year, 2013.

Tanner Roark

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2008 0.7 30.0 3.60 12 1 3 Tanner_Roark_Bakersfield_Blaze_TEX_cal PITCH
2009 3.6 86.2 2.70 29 10 0 Tanner_Roark_Bakersfield_Blaze_TEX_cal PITCH
2009 -0.2 17.2 4.58 5 1 1 Tanner_Roark_Frisco_RoughRiders_TEX_tex PITCH
2010 1.5 36.0 2.50 6 1 1 Tanner_Roark_Harrisburg_Senators_WAS_east PITCH
2010 -0.7 105.0 4.20 22 10 5 Tanner_Roark_Frisco_RoughRiders_TEX_tex PITCH
2011 -1.8 117.0 4.69 21 9 9 Tanner_Roark_Harrisburg_Senators_WAS_east PITCH
2012 -1.5 147.2 4.39 28 6 17 Tanner_Roark_Syracuse_Chiefs_WAS_int PITCH
2013 1.9 105.2 3.15 33 9 3 Tanner_Roark_Syracuse_Chiefs_WAS_int PITCH
2013 3.1 53.7 1.51 14 7 1 Tanner_Roark_WAS PITCH

Tyler Thornburg

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2011 0.7 68.0 3.57 12 3 6 Tyler_Thornburg_Brevard_County_Manatees_MIL_fla PITCH
2012 1.0 37.2 3.58 8 2 3 Tyler_Thornburg_Nashville_Sounds_MIL_pcl PITCH
2012 1.6 75.0 3.00 13 8 1 Tyler_Thornburg_Huntsville_Stars_MIL_sl PITCH
2012 -0.3 22.0 4.50 8 0 0 Tyler_Thornburg_MIL PITCH
2013 -2.4 74.2 5.79 15 0 9 Tyler_Thornburg_Nashville_Sounds_MIL_pcl PITCH
2013 3.1 66.7 2.03 18 3 1 Tyler_Thornburg_MIL PITCH

Jarred Cosart

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2011 -0.1 108.0 3.92 20 9 8 Jarred_Cosart_Clearwater_Threshers_PHI_fla PITCH
2011 -0.3 36.1 4.71 7 1 2 Jarred_Cosart_Corpus_Christi_Hooks_HOU_tex PITCH
2012 1.4 27.2 2.60 6 1 2 Jarred_Cosart_Oklahoma_City_RedHawks_HOU_pcl PITCH
2012 1.0 87.0 3.52 15 5 5 Jarred_Cosart_Corpus_Christi_Hooks_HOU_tex PITCH
2013 2.7 93.0 3.29 18 7 4 Jarred_Cosart_Oklahoma_City_RedHawks_HOU_pcl PITCH
2013 2.9 60.0 1.95 10 1 1 Jarred_Cosart_HOU PITCH

Brett Oberholtzer

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2010 -1.0 112.2 4.15 22 6 6 Brett_Oberholtzer_Myrtle_Beach_Pelicans_ATL_car PITCH
2011 1.1 127.2 3.74 21 9 9 Brett_Oberholtzer_Mississippi_Braves_ATL_sl PITCH
2011 -0.6 27.1 5.27 6 2 3 Brett_Oberholtzer_Corpus_Christi_Hooks_HOU_tex PITCH
2012 0.4 89.2 4.52 15 5 7 Brett_Oberholtzer_Oklahoma_City_RedHawks_HOU_pcl PITCH
2012 -0.4 77.0 4.21 13 5 3 Brett_Oberholtzer_Corpus_Christi_Hooks_HOU_tex PITCH
2013 0.2 80.1 4.37 16 6 6 Brett_Oberholtzer_Oklahoma_City_RedHawks_HOU_pcl PITCH
2013 2.0 71.7 2.76 13 4 5 Brett_Oberholtzer_HOU PITCH

Sonny Gray

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2011 1.9 20.0 0.45 5 1 0 Sonny_Gray_Midland_RockHounds_OAK_tex PITCH
2012 -0.4 4.0 9.00 1 0 0 Sonny_Gray_Sacramento_River_Cats_OAK_pcl PITCH
2012 -0.2 148.0 4.14 26 6 9 Sonny_Gray_Midland_RockHounds_OAK_tex PITCH
2013 2.9 118.1 3.42 20 10 7 Sonny_Gray_Sacramento_River_Cats_OAK_pcl PITCH
2013 1.9 64.0 2.67 12 5 3 Sonny_Gray_OAK PITCH

Gerrit Cole

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2012 1.6 59.0 2.90 12 3 6 Gerrit_Cole_Altoona_Curve_PIT_east PITCH
2012 2.0 67.0 2.55 13 5 1 Gerrit_Cole_Bradenton_Marauders_PIT_fla PITCH
2012 -0.1 6.0 4.50 1 1 0 Gerrit_Cole_Indianapolis_Indians_PIT_int PITCH
2013 1.4 68.0 2.91 12 5 3 Gerrit_Cole_Indianapolis_Indians_PIT_int PITCH
2013 1.7 117.3 3.22 19 10 7 Gerrit_Cole_PIT PITCH

Michael Wacha

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2012 0.7 8.0 0.00 4 0 0 Michael_Wacha_Palm_Beach_Cardinals_SLN_fla PITCH
2012 0.6 8.0 1.12 4 0 0 Michael_Wacha_Springfield_Cardinals_SLN_tex PITCH
2013 3.7 85.0 2.65 15 5 3 Michael_Wacha_Memphis_Redbirds_SLN_pcl PITCH
2013 1.7 64.7 2.78 15 4 1 Michael_Wacha_SLN PITCH

Alex Wood

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2013 0.3 5.0 1.80 1 1 0 Alex_Wood_Gwinnett_Braves_ATL_int PITCH
2013 3.1 57.0 1.26 10 4 2 Alex_Wood_Mississippi_Braves_ATL_sl PITCH
2013 1.4 77.7 3.13 31 3 3 Alex_Wood_ATL PITCH

Danny Salazar

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2012 1.7 53.2 2.68 16 1 2 Danny_Salazar_Carolina_Mudcats_CLE_car PITCH
2012 1.7 34.0 1.85 6 4 0 Danny_Salazar_Akron_Aeros_CLE_east PITCH
2013 1.0 33.2 2.67 7 2 3 Danny_Salazar_Akron_Aeros_CLE_east PITCH
2013 1.5 59.1 2.73 14 4 2 Danny_Salazar_Columbus_Clippers_CLE_int PITCH
2013 1.0 52.0 3.12 10 2 3 Danny_Salazar_CLE PITCH

Zack Wheeler

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2011 1.8 88.0 3.99 16 7 5 Zack_Wheeler_San_Jose_Giants_SFN_cal PITCH
2011 1.3 27.0 2.00 6 2 2 Zack_Wheeler_St._Lucie_Mets_NYN_fla PITCH
2012 1.9 116.0 3.26 19 10 6 Zack_Wheeler_Binghamton_Mets_NYN_east PITCH
2012 0.5 33.0 3.27 6 2 2 Zack_Wheeler_Buffalo_Bisons_NYN_int PITCH
2013 0.8 68.2 3.93 13 4 2 Zack_Wheeler_Las_Vegas_51s_NYN_pcl PITCH
2013 0.9 100.0 3.42 17 7 5 Zack_Wheeler_NYN PITCH

The next post will show Class of 2013 minor league batters.