What is Marlon Byrd Worth?

There is recent news of Marlon Byrd signing a 2 year $16M contract or $8M/year.  As MLB contracts go that’s pretty cheap for a player who had a year like Byrd in 2013.  According to this data model Byrd had his best year in 2013.  Can he repeat?  That’s a $16M question and the Phillies just ponied up the wager.

From: http://www.post-gazette.com/sports/pirates/2013/11/12/Marlon-Byrd-deal-to-fly-Pirates-coop-for-Phillies-pending-physical-source-says/stories/201311120168#ixzz2kmZZgcwu

Marlon Byrd parlayed a comeback season with the Pirates and New York Mets into a two-year contract agreement with the Philadelphia Phillies, a source with knowledge of the situation said Tuesday.

The deal is pending a physical. ESPNNewYork.com reported that the contract will be worth $16 million. Philadelphia’s Sportsradio94 WIP first reported the agreement.

Marlon Byrd

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2002 -0.6 0.229 0.250 36 1 2 Marlon_Byrd_PHI BAT
2003 0.0 0.303 0.366 553 45 86 Marlon_Byrd_PHI BAT
2004 -0.9 0.228 0.287 378 33 48 Marlon_Byrd_PHI BAT
2005 -0.4 0.308 0.400 15 0 0 Marlon_Byrd_PHI BAT
2005 -1.3 0.264 0.318 244 26 20 Marlon_Byrd_WAS BAT
2006 0.6 0.271 0.363 179 29 20 Marlon_Byrd_New_Orleans_Zephyrs_WAS_pcl BAT
2006 -1.1 0.223 0.317 228 18 28 Marlon_Byrd_WAS BAT
2007 1.2 0.358 0.415 195 32 29 Marlon_Byrd_Oklahoma_RedHawks_TEX_pcl BAT
2007 2.1 0.307 0.355 454 70 60 Marlon_Byrd_TEX BAT
2008 2.0 0.298 0.380 462 53 70 Marlon_Byrd_TEX BAT
2009 1.4 0.283 0.329 599 89 66 Marlon_Byrd_TEX BAT
2010 0.9 0.293 0.346 630 66 84 Marlon_Byrd_CHN BAT
2011 -2.2 0.276 0.324 482 35 51 Marlon_Byrd_CHN BAT
2012 -0.9 0.070 0.149 47 2 1 Marlon_Byrd_CHN BAT
2012 -0.8 0.270 0.286 106 7 9 Marlon_Byrd_BOS BAT
2013 3.7 0.285 0.330 464 71 61 Marlon_Byrd_NYN BAT
2013 0.7 0.318 0.357 115 17 14 Marlon_Byrd_PIT BAT
2013 4.3 0.291 0.336 579 88 75 Marlon_Byrd_TOT BAT