Introduction to Rankings Part 2

Today we’ll look at league rankings and in a couple of days we’ll review the Cubs and possibly the White Sox.   Here are the top ten players in MLB as of yesterday.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+001+ 3.74 Ervin_Santana_MIN PITCH
+002+ 3.59 Bryce_Harper_WAS RF
+003+ 3.17 Ryan_Zimmerman_WAS 1B
+004+ 3.00 Chris_Sale_BOS PITCH
+005+ 2.94 Aaron_Judge_NYA RF
+006+ 2.83 Dallas_Keuchel_HOU PITCH
+007+ 2.58 Eric_Thames_MIL 1B
+008+ 2.33 James_Paxton_SEA PITCH
+009+ 2.27 Dylan_Bundy_BAL PITCH
+010+ 2.25 Ivan_Nova_PIT PITCH

We’re between 1/5 and 1/6 of the season so far which means Santana is on pace for a WAA=20 which puts him in Babe Ruth/Cy Young category.  That is if he can keep up this pace which he won’t.  Pitchers, batters, AL, and NL are all ranked together all fall under the same calculation.  Pitchers add value by making outs and not giving up runs, batters add value by not making outs and creating runs.  There is no human bias in these rankings.

We’re missing someone.  Where is Clayton Kershaw?

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+043+ 1.26 Clayton_Kershaw_LAN PITCH

He’s ranked #43 in MLB right now but he should rise again to the top eventually.

Washington has two players in the top ten.  Their entire team is tearing up the league right now.  Let’s look at WAS as an example of how this works. Below is their team status line.

56.8 -11.1 173 128 17 9 0.1 -0.9 WAS

They have 10 players in the top 200, almost 10 in the top 100.  Four in the top 25.  Washington is on fire.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+002+ 3.59 Bryce_Harper_WAS RF
+003+ 3.17 Ryan_Zimmerman_WAS 1B
+014+ 2.12 Daniel_Murphy_WAS 2B
+016+ 1.93 Gio_Gonzalez_WAS PITCH
+030+ 1.45 Adam_Eaton_WAS CF
+031+ 1.43 Trea_Turner_WAS SS
+088+ 0.92 Max_Scherzer_WAS PITCH
+091+ 0.90 Matt_Albers_WAS PITCH
+103+ 0.84 Adam_Lind_WAS BAT
+104+ 0.84 Stephen_Strasburg_WAS PITCH

This is also very very early in the season and these can all change suddenly.  Just like a first place team in Spring can end up as a last place team in October, like the Cubs so many years :-(, so can a player.  Speaking of the Cubs, below is the CHN status on this day last year.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID 05/03/2016
39.6 45.2 153 64 19 6 1.6 2.6 CHN

The Cubs had much better PITCH than WAS last year and similar BAT on this date. Below are last year’s CHN players in the top 200 on 5/3/2016.

+001+ 3.32 Jake_Arrieta_CHN PITCH
+007+ 2.16 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B
+012+ 1.97 Jason_Hammel_CHN PITCH
+013+ 1.85 Jon_Lester_CHN PITCH
+033+ 1.41 Dexter_Fowler_CHN OF
+037+ 1.32 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B
+054+ 1.11 Matt_Szczur_CHN OF
+098+ 0.88 Adam_Warren_CHN PITCH
+159+ 0.59 David_Ross_CHN C
+163+ 0.57 Hector_Rondon_CHN PITCH
+166+ 0.57 Ben_Zobrist_CHN 2B
XXXXX 0.40 Addison_Russell_CHN 2B

Players fluctuate throughout the season.  The Cubs had Rizzo and Arrieta in the top ten this day last season which was very good.

This model has daily snapshots going back to 1911 so we’ll do historical comparisons throughout the season.  Once a week or so I’ll run a status on the Cubs.  A baseball season is a marathon so once a week or every ten days is more than enough to get a glimpse as to how they’re trending.  The next Cubs status in two days.

And before I go here’s a shout out to Starlin Castro.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+108+ 0.84 Starlin_Castro_NYA 2B

Castro is having a career year this season and NYA is doing very well because of it. He’s ranked 108 in MLB, right now the highest rank he has ever achieved in this data model. We’ll keep track of him and a couple other ex-Cubbies throughout this season. Until then….