Cubs Yankee Matchup

The game starts in an hour.  Had a disk crash that took out the Cubs ranking article yesterday but no big deal.  Basically the Cubs have no superstars and after their loss yesterday to the Yankees went 4-4 this last week.  Everyone is staying about the same which isn’t bad.  Slow and steady can also win a World Series.

I’m going to do a quick analysis of this series and then try and recover from all these outages I’m having lately.  Here’s what the Ouija Board has to say about today.

DATE 05_06 7:15_PM May_6_16:52:13 NYA CHN
LINEAWAY NYA [ 0.450 ] < 0.465 >
STARTAWAY 0.17 Jordan_Montgomery_NYA
LINEHOME CHN [ 0.569 ] < 0.574 >
STARTHOME -1.09 Brett_Anderson_CHN

Brett Anderson is having a bad year so far and Montgomery is slightly above average. The Ouija Board is giving a we don’t know to this game just like it did yesterday. Home field advantage is 0.56 and away field is 0.46 and that’s almost exactly what the numbers are for this game. Let’s look at lineups.

0.32 Ben_Zobrist_CHN RF 101
0.78 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B 132
0.46 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B 132
0.59 Addison_Russell_CHN SS 117
0.29 Willson_Contreras_CHN C 84
0.38 Albert_Almora_CHN CF 62
0.19 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B 84
-0.08 Brett_Anderson_CHN P 8
-0.04 Jon_Jay_CHN LF 57
TOTAL WAA=2.88 PA=777 WinPct=0.571

The Cubs have a 0.571 winning pct lineup which is pretty good. Here’s NYA.

-0.10 Brett_Gardner_NYA LF 100
1.03 Aaron_Hicks_NYA CF 68
0.76 Starlin_Castro_NYA 2B 112
3.17 Aaron_Judge_NYA RF 104
-0.21 Gary_Sanchez_NYA C 21
0.21 Didi_Gregorius_NYA SS 25
0.15 Chase_Headley_NYA 3B 107
0.13 Chris_Carter_NYA 1B 49
-0.04 Jordan_Montgomery_NYA P 2
TOTAL WAA=5.08 PA=588 WinPct=0.666

The Yankees are fielding a 0.666 starting lineup which is quite spectacular. Since NYA has a better lineup and a better starting pitcher they should be getting some premium today from the Ouija Board but they’re not. I was going to show relief squad ratings but it’s getting late and I need to do some more recovery from the disk failure. Until then….

EDIT: If you look at PA, the 4th column, you’ll notice 4 guys in the NYA lineup with very low number of plate appearances and Aaron Judge with at near top of MLB at WAA=3.17 and 104 plate appearances. This skews WinPct and is an example why averages and ratios can be so deceiving. The Yankees lineup WAA is far greater than the Cubs so they do have a better lineup. It probably isn’t a 0.666 kind of lineup but it’s good. The WinPct comparison would make more sense if both lineups had around equal total Plate Appearances.