Cubs Cardinal Matchup

Cubs play the Cardinals tonight and here’s what the Ouija Board has to say so far.

DATE 05_12 8:15_PM May_12_12:17 CHN SLN
LINEAWAY CHN [ 0.463 ] < 0.448 >
STARTAWAY 0.00 Eddie_Butler_CHN
LINEHOME SLN [ 0.558 ] < 0.571 >
STARTHOME 2.21 Mike_Leake_SLN

My first reaction: Who the heck is Eddie Butler?!

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
2014 -1.1 Eddie_Butler_COL PITCH -257-
2015 -3.5 Eddie_Butler_COL PITCH -028-
2016 -4.4 Eddie_Butler_COL PITCH -013-
Total = -9.0

Yikes! Not sure why or how the Cubs acquired him but he probably can’t do much worse than the guy they just put on the “disabled list,” Brett Anderson. This is probably Butler’s last MLB appearance if he doesn’t pitch well today. The Cubs are slightly less than away field disadvantage and might be the first time since the NLDS NLCS that they’re an underdog.

Edit: They were last underdog against LAN with  Clayton Kershaw pitching in NLCS.

Let’s look at team statuses:

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
10.4 5.4 166 158 17 17 -9.6 1.8 CHN
-1.1 14.4 153 140 19 14 -0.6 0.3 SLN

The Cardinals have a PITCH team this year and Mike Leake is their best player.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+013+ 2.27 Mike_Leake_SLN PITCH
+055+ 1.32 Lance_Lynn_SLN PITCH
+067+ 1.22 Matt_Carpenter_SLN 1B
+133+ 0.86 Michael_Wacha_SLN PITCH

Let’s lookup the lineup from each team’s last game.

WAA Naem_TeamID Pos PA
DATE 05102017
0.02 Jon_Jay_CHN RF 75
0.80 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B 158
0.00 Kyle_Schwarber_CHN LF 142
0.10 Jeimer_Candelario_CHN 1B 5
0.40 Miguel_Montero_CHN C 48
0.71 Javier_Baez_CHN SS 105
-0.04 Tommy_La_Stella_CHN 2B 11
0.76 Albert_Almora_CHN CF 80
-0.04 Kyle_Hendricks_CHN P 11
TOTAL WAA=2.71 PA=635 WinPct=0.582
WAA Naem_TeamID Pos PA
DATE 05102017
-0.06 Kolten_Wong_SLN 2B 117
-0.04 Randal_Grichuk_SLN RF 129
1.26 Matt_Carpenter_SLN 1B 127
0.53 Jedd_Gyorko_SLN 3B 101
-0.53 Yadier_Molina_SLN C 114
-0.36 Aledmys_Diaz_SLN SS 133
0.59 Tommy_Pham_SLN LF 24
0.17 Magneuris_Sierra_SLN CF 15
-0.32 Lance_Lynn_SLN P 13
TOTAL WAA=1.24 PA=773 WinPct=0.531

Cubs have a slightly better lineup but far worse starting pitcher. The next few days the Cubs will be back at the start of their rotation. Good luck to Eddie Butler today.