Cubs Giants Matchup

Here’s what the noon snapshot of the Ouija Board says.

DATE 05_22 8:05_PM May_22_12:17 SFN CHN
LINEAWAY SFN [ 0.365 ] < 0.370 >
STARTAWAY -0.17(0.478) Ty_Blach_SFN
LINEHOME CHN [ 0.648 ] < 0.667 >
STARTHOME -0.17(0.484) John_Lackey_CHN

The Cubs again are at 0.667 which is a probability of 2 out of 3 to win this game. According to the above the starting pitchers are of equal value. Cubs have home field which is 0.54 without any other information available. Let’s look at yesterday’s lineups for both teams. Lineups won’t be available for today until later.

WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA 05212017
-0.44 Ben_Zobrist_CHN 2B 141
-0.40 Kyle_Schwarber_CHN LF 174
0.50 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B 180
-0.13 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B 189
0.42 Ian_Happ_CHN CF 26
0.27 Jason_Heyward_CHN RF 111
0.27 Willson_Contreras_CHN C 129
0.71 Addison_Russell_CHN SS 158
-0.23 Jake_Arrieta_CHN P 18
TOTAL WAA=0.99 PA=1126 WinPct=0.517
WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA 05212017
-0.53 Denard_Span_SFN CF 93
-1.09 Joe_Panik_SFN 2B 165
-0.27 Christian_Arroyo_SFN 3B 104
-0.02 Brandon_Belt_SFN 1B 182
0.06 Brandon_Crawford_SFN SS 117
-0.71 Eduardo_Nunez_SFN LF 167
-0.57 Nick_Hundley_SFN C 77
0.02 Mac_Williamson_SFN RF 17
-0.19 Matt_Cain_SFN P 12
TOTAL WAA=-3.30 PA=934 WinPct=0.432

The Giants have a below average lineup so far this season and the Cubs are slightly above average.  Note: The above numbers include all games up to the day before yesterday, not yesterday’s games.  That shouldn’t matter much anyway.

Here are relief staff numbers for all games up to today.

TeamID WAA IP WinPct
SFN -0.17 165.7 0.495
CHN 3.25 158.2 0.593

SFN is slightly below average.  Cubs still top tier.  Here’s SFN team status.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-43.8 -18.1 154 217 19 26 -0.4 -0.7 SFN

At 19-26, the Giants aren’t having a good start to this season.   Both  BAT and  PITCH are under water.  In theory the Cubs should be favored much higher than they were the last two games against a first place team but they’re not.  Whatever happens in a single game does not prove or disprove any of this however.  We’ll do Cubs’ status in a couple of days.  Until then….