Cubs Dodgers Matchup

The Cubs start a new series with the Dodgers tonight so let’s see what the Ouija board thinks so far.

DATE 05_26 10:10_PM May_26_12:17 CHN LAN
LINEAWAY CHN [ 0.465 ] < 0.435 >
STARTAWAY -0.71(0.437) Jake_Arrieta_CHN
LINEHOME LAN [ 0.556 ] < 0.583 >
STARTHOME 2.25(0.735) Alex_Wood_LAN

Arrieta had a good outing his last start and is climbing back to average.  The numbers in parenthesis next to WAA in bold is the calculated WinPct which we explain here and here.   Alex Wood is having a very good season so far and is ranked #23 MLB player. The Dodgers are getting premium at 0.583. Normal home field advantage is 0.54. Here’s the Dodger’s team status line.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
20.9 36.4 230 165 27 19 4.1 3.6 LAN

LAN has both well above average BAT and PITCH and they’re 27-19 for the season making them a top tier MLB team.  The Ouija board numbers in [] is the starting line and in <> is the current so it’s shifting towards LAN.  Let’s look at lineups from yesterday since tonight’s lineups won’t be available until very late.

WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA 05252017
-0.21 Ben_Zobrist_CHN 2B 154
-0.17 Kyle_Schwarber_CHN LF 183
0.97 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B 192
0.23 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B 201
0.50 Ian_Happ_CHN CF 36
0.42 Jason_Heyward_CHN RF 123
0.25 Miguel_Montero_CHN C 60
1.07 Javier_Baez_CHN SS 135
-0.10 Eddie_Butler_CHN P 4
TOTAL WAA=2.96 PA=1088 WinPct=0.552
WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA 05252017
0.92 Chris_Taylor_LAN CF 103
1.07 Corey_Seager_LAN SS 194
0.40 Yasmani_Grandal_LAN C 147
-0.69 Adrian_Gonzalez_LAN 1B 122
2.23 Cody_Bellinger_LAN LF 110
-0.50 Chase_Utley_LAN 2B 101
0.73 Enrique_Hernandez_LAN 3B 97
0.59 Yasiel_Puig_LAN RF 174
-0.34 Kenta_Maeda_LAN P 14
TOTAL WAA=4.41 PA=1062 WinPct=0.580

Both teams have above average lineups but LAN is slightly better at 0.580.

TeamID WAA IP WinPct
CHN 3.32 162.3 0.592
LAN 3.21 144.9 0.600

Both teams have top of the league relief staffs and are almost exactly equal.  LAN had to use relievers much less than the Cubs.  If Arrieta pitches like old Arrieta and Wood pitches like his number this year indicate this could be a pitching duel today.