State of the Cubs 5/31/2017

Here are team status lines from today and a week ago.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
13.9 12.4 221 204 23 21 -10.9 1.6 CHN 5/24/2017
1.9 4.6 239 238 25 26 -7.8 2.2 CHN  5/31/2017

Edit: There was a problem with the 5/31 snapshot that was 5/30 instead.  The table above has been updated.

Cubs are down both PITCH and BAT and went 2-5 last week (WAA=-3).  They are almost completely average now.  Unearned runs above average was up last week which ended a very long slide.  Not much more to say about this.  Here are Cubs in the top 200.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+085+ 1.36 Mike_Montgomery_CHN PITCH
+086+ 1.36 Wade_Davis_CHN PITCH
+091+ 1.34 Carl_Edwards_CHN PITCH
+153+ 0.94 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B-SS
+180+ 0.80 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B

Top 3 Cub players are relievers. The Cubs are ranked #5 in MLB for relief. There won’t be a lot of top MLB players on an average team. Right now the Cubs don’t have a lot of very bad players either. Everyone is hovering around average and there is still plenty of time for players to make a run for the top. When players rise to the top in this data model it means their team will also rise to the top.

Blast from the Past

Let’s look at some past teams and their top players on this day in past years.  We’ll file this under it could be worse!

2012

BAT bad, PITCH bad, and the 2012 Cubs already had a WAA=-14.  The Cubs lost 101 games by the end of season this year.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-33.8 -14.1 185 231 18 32 0.9 1.0 CHN
Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+061+ 1.60 Ryan_Dempster_CHN PITCH
+078+ 1.45 Jeff_Samardzija_CHN PITCH
+090+ 1.36 James_Russell_CHN PITCH
+178+ 0.88 Shawn_Camp_CHN PITCH

2006

The Cubs lost 96 games at the end of season this year.  Their BAT was terrible and notice no hitters in top 200.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-56.3 -3.0 202 263 20 32 -3.3 1.5 CHN
Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+043+ 2.21 Carlos_Zambrano_CHN PITCH
+074+ 1.68 Scott_Eyre_CHN PITCH
+081+ 1.57 Greg_Maddux_CHN PITCH
+086+ 1.53 Bob_Howry_CHN PITCH
+187+ 0.82 Ryan_Dempster_CHN PITCH

2000

The Cubs finished with 97 losses in 2000 and they already had a WAA=-12 as of this day in 2000. That they had so many players in the top 200 meant they had a lot of very bad players dragging this team down, which is why they ended the season like they did. At least the current Cubs have a more balanced team.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
4.7 -67.0 279 332 20 33 7.6 1.7 CHN
+026+ 2.90 Sammy_Sosa_CHN X
+062+ 2.04 Jon_Lieber_CHN PITCH
+097+ 1.55 Henry_Rodriguez_CHN X
+136+ 1.24 Todd_Van_Poppel_CHN PITCH
+178+ 0.92 Ricky_Gutierrez_CHN X
+189+ 0.86 Shane_Andrews_CHN X
XXXXX 0.71 Daniel_Garibay_CHN PITCH