Cubs start a series with the Rockies today. We did the Cubs status yesterday. Here’s what the Ouija Board has to say about today (10am snapshot).
DATE 06_08 8:05_PM Jun_8_10:17 COL CHN
LINEAWAY COL [ 0.351 ] < 0.377 >
STARTAWAY -0.92(0.442) Tyler_Chatwood_COL
LINEHOME CHN [ 0.667 ] < 0.643 >
STARTHOME 0.55(0.534) Jon_Lester_CHN
Jon Lester is still above average but Tyler Chatwood is not. At 0.643 the Ouija Board is giving the Cubs a big premium over home field advantage today. Let’s look at the Rockies’ team status.
At 37-23 the Rockies are a top tier MLB team at +14. They have very good hitting and very good fielding with a UR=+10.5. Their PITCH is slightly underwater but at this point in the season could be considered virtually average. Since the game starts tonight lineups won’t be available until later so let’s look at yesterday’s lineups for the two teams.
As expected from their BAT number, COL has an exceptional lineup. Lester will have his hands full with these guys today.
The Cubs’ lineup is above water again Since COL has such a poor starter going today they’ll probably/hopefully dip into relief early. Let’s look at relief staffs.
The Rockies have a little above average relief
that is better than MIA which the Cubs hit but not enough yesterday. So we have a below average starting pitcher facing a slightly above mediocre lineup vs. slightly above average starter in Lester facing a top tier MLB lineup. The Cubs are favored almost 2-1 (0.667) today far above standard home field advantage of 0.540. The Rockies are a good team this year so we’ll see. MLB leaders tomorrow.
Edit: MIA had better relief than COL. The Cardinals were the team with bad relief this home stand.