State of the Cubs 6/14/2017

It’s another week so let’s look at status lines.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
1.5 15.4 268 254 30 27 -5.5 2.6 CHN 6/7/2017
-0.2 8.7 300 292 32 32 -3.5 3.0 CHN 6/14/2017

The Cubs went 2-5 losing 3 games and now they’re even steven, completely average.  Their PITCH is down and so is BAT but not quite as down as it would be had they not put up 14 runs yesterday.  But everything gets averaged out in the long term.

Most all teams who went to the World Series that year were well above average this time in the season.  That doesn’t mean that can’t happen.  The Cubs just need to finish well and make the playoffs.  Here’s a team that did it.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-6.0 8.4 314 313 32 37 -1.5 0.1 MIA  6/14/2003

Yes.  Those Marlins.  On this day they were -5 in 2003.  BAT and PITCH very similar to the Cubs today. Here’s where ex-Cubbie Derrick Lee stood that year on this day.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
XXXXX 0.65 Derrek_Lee_MIA 1B 6/14/2003

Right now he’s unranked like most Cubs today. To put that in perspective here are top Cubs today.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+073+ 1.89 Carl_Edwards_CHN PITCH
+085+ 1.74 Mike_Montgomery_CHN PITCH
+097+ 1.60 Wade_Davis_CHN PITCH
+150+ 1.16 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B
XXXXX 0.90 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B-SS
XXXXX 0.76 Koji_Uehara_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.73 Jon_Lester_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.65 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B
XXXXX 0.61 Brian_Duensing_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.48 Ian_Happ_CHN CF
XXXXX 0.34 Jason_Heyward_CHN RF-CF
XXXXX 0.27 Kyle_Hendricks_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.27 Pedro_Strop_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.17 Eddie_Butler_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.17 Albert_Almora_CHN CF
XXXXX 0.15 Addison_Russell_CHN SS

Last season a list that large would have been Cubs in top 200.  This year only four, three of which are relievers.  Relief staff still top tier.    Notice Kris Bryant is at exactly the same value as 2003 Derrek Lee.

The above list shows how this team wins a World Series as a team and they also play average as a team.  IMHO, this is very positive.  And for those blaming the demise of the current Cubs on not resigning Dexter Fowler, here’s what Fowler is doing as of today.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
XXXXX 0.21 Dexter_Fowler_SLN CF

He’s playing around the bottom of the above list too.

Update: Just realized this guy was missing from the above list.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
XXXXX -0.32 Kyle_Schwarber_CHN LF

That’s almost completely average too. Schwarber has shown he’s capable of adding +4.5 from now until the end of the season in 2015.  -0.32 is nothing.