State of the Cubs 6/28/2016

Another week and another state of the Cubs.  As mentioned in the past baseball is a marathon and we’ll see here that nothing much has changed from last week.  Here is the current team status line as of all games up to and including yesterday.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-3.7 21.1 330 313 36 34 -3.7 3.4 CHN 6/21/2017
-6.5 27.2 356 336 39 38 -3.2 2.4 CHN  6/28/2017

They went 3-4 and lost a win last week making them only +1 for the season.  This team is moving sideways or average.  BAT is down almost as much as PITCH is up.  UR is slightly up from last week which is good.  Average is a lot better than tanking and below average like that  team on the south side of Chicago.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-13.5 18.3 346 350 33 43 -8.2 -0.6 CHA

It hasn’t been good to be a White Sox fan for the last decade or so.  Here are the top Cubs players.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+048+ 2.48 Mike_Montgomery_CHN PITCH
+081+ 1.91 Carl_Edwards_CHN PITCH
+131+ 1.47 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B
+133+ 1.47 Wade_Davis_CHN PITCH
+176+ 1.13 Jon_Lester_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.94 Koji_Uehara_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.84 Ian_Happ_CHN CF-2B

The Cubs back to 5 guys in the top 200.  This is normal for a team going sideways.  Mike Montgomery is a starter now and has been pitching very well.  Since he’s about the same value as last week he dropped from #36 to #48 in rank because the rest of the league does not move sideways.

Blast from the Past

Let’s reminisce the good old days back on this day of the year 2015.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-18.2 26.4 295 288 39 35 -1.4 0.2 CHN  6/28/2015

Mid June is when Arrieta starts his Cy Young performance.  The Cubs were only +4 on this day in 2015.  Here were their top players.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+055+ 2.18 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B
+056+ 2.16 Jake_Arrieta_CHN PITCH
+059+ 2.12 Jason_Hammel_CHN PITCH
+084+ 1.83 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B
+146+ 1.20 Hector_Rondon_CHN PITCH
+170+ 1.07 Justin_Grimm_CHN PITCH
+198+ 0.86 James_Russell_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.73 Kyle_Schwarber_CHN C

Schwarber was brought up only a couple of days ago and he makes an incredible run from now until the end of the season.   This is Bryant’s rookie season and he’s doing great.  Rizzo is almost exactly the same value then as he is now.  He’s simply consistent year after year like that guy who used to play third base for the Cubs back in the 1960s.  BTW: Where were the Cubs in 1969?

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
75.6 27.8 373 261 48 26 7.4 1.3 CHN  6/28/1969

Right now they’re as good as Washington is today and we all know what happens to this team at the end of the season.  UR is very good indicating good fielding as a team.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+005+ 5.19 Ron_Santo_CHN X
+024+ 3.57 Ernie_Banks_CHN X
+034+ 3.09 Billy_Williams_CHN X
+048+ 2.62 Ferguson_Jenkins_CHN PITCH
+050+ 2.54 Bill_Hands_CHN PITCH
+061+ 2.25 Randy_Hundley_CHN X
+067+ 2.08 Don_Kessinger_CHN X

And this is why they were +22 now.  We’ll revisit these Cubs mid September when my dad used to say “quit crying in your beer” about how Jack Brickhouse used to sound calling those end of season games.  None of that matters now since the Cubs won a World Series.

All Star Picks part 2 tomorrow.  Until then….