State of the Cubs 8/5/2017

Another week another state of the Cubs report.  Here are team status lines from today and the last time we did this.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
2.6 36.3 477 443 54 47 -5.5 0.6 CHN 7/28/2017
3.0 42.8 510 469 57 51 -5.1 0.4 CHN 8/5/2017

Cubs went 3-4 for the week bleeding a game.  BAT is stagnate, PITCH is up a little again and UR is kind of stagnate.  They burned a week and are still +6 for the season.  If they maintain a 0.500 season they’ll end up 84-78 which probably won’t win the division.  Arizona and Washington are tough teams to beat.  Let’s look at top Cubs as of all games up to including yesterday.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+098+ 2.31 Willson_Contreras_CHN CR
+102+ 2.25 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B
+115+ 2.08 Brian_Duensing_CHN PITCH
+139+ 1.76 Pedro_Strop_CHN PITCH
+152+ 1.66 Wade_Davis_CHN PITCH
+173+ 1.43 Mike_Montgomery_CHN PITCH
+176+ 1.43 Jake_Arrieta_CHN PITCH
+183+ 1.32 Carl_Edwards_CHN PITCH
+193+ 1.24 Jon_Lester_CHN PITCH
+197+ 1.22 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B-SS
XXXXX 1.18 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B
XXXXX 1.03 Koji_Uehara_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 1.01 Kyle_Hendricks_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.61 Ian_Happ_CHN CF-2B-LF-RF

Ten guys in the top 200.  They are definitely climbing out of this malaise and once again, climbing out together.  Contreras broke the top 100 and Rizzo has been flirting with it all week.   At the All Star break they only had 5 guys in top 200.   Not much more to say about this week.

Blast from the Past

The Cubs play another day game today against WAS and ex-Cub/White Sox pitcher Edwin Jackson is on the mound today.  We’ll turn on anti jinx for the rest of this post.

We don’t need to inspire Edwin to pitch like Cy Young today so….

<anti jinx on>

What a break!  No Scherzer or Gonzalez today!  Let’s look at Edwin Jackson’s career.

Year WAA Name_TeamID Pos Rank
2003 1.0 Edwin_Jackson_LAN PITCH XXXXX
2004 -1.6 Edwin_Jackson_LAN PITCH -184-
2005 -1.3 Edwin_Jackson_LAN PITCH XXXXX
2006 -0.7 Edwin_Jackson_TBA PITCH XXXXX
2007 -4.6 Edwin_Jackson_TBA PITCH -016-
2008 -0.6 Edwin_Jackson_TBA PITCH XXXXX
2009 3.4 Edwin_Jackson_DET PITCH +075+
2010 -3.3 Edwin_Jackson_ARI PITCH -136-
2010 1.4 Edwin_Jackson_CHA PITCH -136-
2011 -0.0 Edwin_Jackson_CHA PITCH XXXXX
2011 0.6 Edwin_Jackson_SLN PITCH XXXXX
2012 -0.4 Edwin_Jackson_WAS PITCH XXXXX
2013 -4.5 Edwin_Jackson_CHN PITCH -019-
2014 -8.6 Edwin_Jackson_CHN PITCH -001-
2015 0.5 Edwin_Jackson_CHN PITCH XXXXX
2015 0.6 Edwin_Jackson_ATL PITCH XXXXX
2016 -0.4 Edwin_Jackson_MIA PITCH -036-
2016 -2.9 Edwin_Jackson_SDN PITCH -036-
2017 -0.3 Edwin_Jackson_BAL PITCH XXXXX
2017 0.7 Edwin_Jackson_WAS PITCH XXXXX
Total -21.0

What an illustrious drain he has been on every team he has pitched for.  His career bad year was 2014 with the Cubs where he ranked #1 in the bottom 200 winning  Least  Valuable Player (LVP) for that year.  He had a WAR > 2 from 2010-2012 so maybe that was what Theo Epstein looked at as well as he just needed someone to burn innings during a rebuilding year.

Anyway he’s pitching today.  Unfortunately if the Cubs knock him out WAS has a good relief staff now.

DATE 08_05 2:20_PM WAS CHN
LINEAWAY WAS [ 0.435 ] < 0.392 >
STARTAWAY 0.34(0.563) Edwin_Jackson_TOT
LINEHOME CHN [ 0.600 ] < 0.630 >
STARTHOME -1.36(0.446) John_Lackey_CHN

Kind of interesting that Lackey has worse numbers than Edwin Jackson this season.

<anti jinx off>