State of the Tennessee Smokies and AA

We haven’t looked at the Tennessee Smokies or AA since the beginning of July.  Here are  their last two snapshots we made and current team status.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-5.5 13.6 283 269 36 33 2.4 1.9 Tennessee_Smokies_CHN 6/22/2017
-17.1 25.2 353 336 46 41 5.4 3.6 Tennessee_Smokies_CHN 7/11/2017
-44.0 48.2 464 452 62 57 4.7 3.3 Tennessee_Smokies_CHN  8/15/2017

Hitting tanked badly, pitching canceled that out and the Smokies went 16-16 since our last snapshot which is expected.  Let’s dive into their top players to see what happened during the last month.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos WinPct
+012+ 4.09 James_Pugliese_CHN PITCH 0.768
+018+ 3.70 Daury_Torrez_CHN PITCH 0.759
+043+ 2.90 Jason_Vosler_CHN BAT 0.625
+096+ 2.12 Jen-Ho_Tseng_CHN PITCH 0.606
+192+ 1.41 Andury_Acevedo_CHN PITCH 0.923
XXXXX 1.30 Brad_Markey_CHN PITCH 0.595
XXXXX 1.22 Adbert_Alzolay_CHN PITCH 0.677
XXXXX 1.01 David_Garner_CHN PITCH 0.647

Jason Vosler was ranked #3 in AA on 7/11 and has dropped to #43 which is still top 100.  He went from +4.18 to +2.90 which is a significant loss for a single month.  It means he was hitting way below league average along with many others on this team.  The two pitchers, Pugliese and Torrez maintained their rank which requires increasing their value.  We saw in team status how pitching has improved and you can see it in the above table.

The highlighted names in blue have moved to aaa or moved here from aplus leagues.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos WinPct
+192+ 1.41 Andury_Acevedo_CHN PITCH 0.923 aa
+192+ -0.65 Andury_Acevedo_ARI PITCH NA aa
XXXXX 0.21 Andury_Acevedo_CHN PITCH 0.579 aaa
+105+ 1.66 Adbert_Alzolay_CHN PITCH 0.591 aplus
XXXXX 1.22 Adbert_Alzolay_CHN PITCH 0.677 aa
+096+ 2.12 Jen-Ho_Tseng_CHN PITCH 0.606 aa
+169+ 1.68 Jen-Ho_Tseng_CHN PITCH 0.752 aaa
XXXXX 1.01 David_Garner_CHN PITCH 0.647 aa
XXXXX 0.32 David_Garner_CHN PITCH NA aaa

League is the last column.  We don’t have minor league rosters so can’t tell if Acevedo is with the Cubs or Arizona but he played in AAA with the Cubs after tearing up the AA league with a 0.923 Win%.  Alzolay moved from aplus to aa and has been pitching well.  Jen Ho Tseng went from aa to aaa and is pitching well for Iowa right now.  We’ll see if the MLB Cubs try him out in September.  It appears David Garner also moved to AAA after pitching well in aa but he doesn’t have enough playing time to compute a Win%.

This data model only takes the dataset and crunches it to make these sorts.  We don’t follow prospects and don’t even know anything about the above players.  Finally, let’s dump the top 25 of AA which will have many more players we  know nothing about other than their name ends up in this list.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos WinPct
+001+ 4.85 Garabez_Rosa_BAL BAT 0.697
+002+ 4.70 Jeremy_Barfield_BOS BAT 0.788
+003+ 4.66 Corey_Oswalt_NYN PITCH 0.680
+004+ 4.56 Tyler_Mahle_CIN PITCH 0.741
+005+ 4.51 Nick_Ramirez_MIL PITCH 0.802
+006+ 4.47 Viosergy_Rosa_OAK BAT 0.670
+007+ 4.41 Austin_Ross_CIN PITCH 0.745
+008+ 4.30 Kevin_Cron_ARI BAT 0.663
+009+ 4.28 Deck_McGuire_CIN PITCH 0.633
+010+ 4.24 Franmil_Reyes_SDN BAT 0.668
+011+ 4.14 Jonathan_Rodriguez_MIN BAT 0.672
+012+ 4.09 James_Pugliese_CHN PITCH 0.768
+013+ 4.09 Edwin_Rios_LAN BAT 0.737
+014+ 3.93 DJ_Stewart_BAL BAT 0.667
+015+ 3.86 Scott_Kingery_PHI BAT 0.734
+016+ 3.82 Anthony_Garcia_SLN BAT 0.711
+017+ 3.76 Christin_Stewart_DET BAT 0.654
+018+ 3.70 Daury_Torrez_CHN PITCH 0.759
+019+ 3.70 Ronald_Herrera_NYA PITCH 0.797
+020+ 3.59 Mike_Soroka_ATL PITCH 0.624
+021+ 3.55 Jack_Flaherty_SLN PITCH 0.752
+022+ 3.51 Scott_Barlow_LAN PITCH 0.682
+023+ 3.51 Gabriel_Quintana_DET BAT 0.667
+024+ 3.46 Jose_Fernandez_LAN BAT 0.680
+025+ 3.46 Dakota_Hudson_SLN PITCH 0.637

Cubs highlighted in blue. This list is compiled using the WAA value as a weighting factor so it means these are the top 25 players who accumulated value in AA this season, not necessarily the top 25 prospects in AA.  Evaluating prospect talent requires much more than this data model can provide.

The White Sox may have players in this list next year.  Most of their prospects are in A+ or A.  We’ll do A+ next and look into some of their acquisitions there.  Until then….