Cubs team status 8/29/2017

It has been over a week since we last did this so let’s look at status of the Cubs.  We don’t care about any other teams in this report.  Soon we’ll start covering the horse races in various divisions.  Here are team status lines from today and the last report.

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
19.1 40.8 587 535 64 57 -8.7 0.9 CHN 8/19/2017
36.7 42.2 648 575 70 60 -8.7 2.8 CHN 8/29/2017

BAT improved, PITCH about the same, and the Cubs went 6-3 gaining 3 wins.  Not bad at all.  Their BAT and PITCH very above water and very balanced.  Those +3 wins get distributed amongst the players.   Let’s look at the current roster.

Starters

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+066+ 3.09 Jake_Arrieta_CHN PITCH
+127+ 2.16 Kyle_Hendricks_CHN PITCH
XXXXX -0.04 Jose_Quintana_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.15 Jose_Quintana_CHN PITCH
-087- -2.02 John_Lackey_CHN PITCH
Total 3.04

Overall positive starting pitching.  Arrieta is climbing the MLB ladder ranked #66.   In earlier reports the Cubs hardly had any players in the top 200.  Now they have 10, 3 in the top 100.  They are also 10 games up compared to hovering around 0.500.

Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+091+ 2.73 Mike_Montgomery_CHN PITCH
+110+ 2.39 Brian_Duensing_CHN PITCH
+118+ 2.25 Wade_Davis_CHN PITCH
+177+ 1.64 Justin_Wilson_DET PITCH
XXXXX 1.24 Carl_Edwards_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 1.07 Pedro_Strop_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.46 Koji_Uehara_CHN PITCH
+177+ 0.08 Justin_Wilson_CHN PITCH
XXXXX -0.38 Felix_Pena_CHN PITCH
XXXXX -0.67 Hector_Rondon_CHN PITCH
Total 10.81

Relief is still top tier MLB.   Although Montgomery starts a lot he is listed as a reliever.  It doesn’t matter, he’s top 100 status now.  Wilson accrued most his value playing for Detroit this season but he’s still in the top 200.

Hitters

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+039+ 4.09 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B-2B
+114+ 2.31 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B-SS
+149+ 1.87 Kris_Bryant_CHN 3B
+170+ 1.68 Ian_Happ_CHN CF-2B-LF-RF
XXXXX 0.69 Alex_Avila_CHN CR
XXXXX 0.67 Tommy_La_Stella_CHN 3B-2B
XXXXX -0.00 Kyle_Schwarber_CHN LF
XXXXX -0.02 Jason_Heyward_CHN RF-CF
XXXXX -0.06 Albert_Almora_CHN CF
XXXXX -0.13 Alex_Avila_DET CR-1B
XXXXX -0.40 Jon_Jay_CHN LF-CF-RF
XXXXX -0.71 Rene_Rivera_NYN CR
XXXXX -0.94 Ben_Zobrist_CHN 2B-LF-RF
Total 9.05

Rizzo is best Cub and he’s close to top 25.  The numbers for starters, relief, and hitters will make more sense when placed in context with the other teams.  The Cubs are in first place 2.5 games ahead of MIL and 5 games ahead of the Cardinals.  According to the table published here the Cardinals had a WAA total of 22.5, MIL and CHN were around 18.  If you add the three categories above the Cubs are now around 23.  That table was published two weeks ago.  Right now the Cards are at 20.5.   We’ll publish an update for the entire league tomorrow.

Blast from the past

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
5.6 1.0 593 593 71 59 -6.9 0.3 CHN 8/29/1977

Cubs were +12 on this day in 1977 but the Phillies were +29.  DeltaWAA between the two teams was 17 so the Cubs were 17/2=8.5 games back.  They finish the year even steven at 81-81 so the next month wasn’t good for this team  The 1977 Cubs were in first place for much of the first half of this season and then got tired and slowly slid into mediocrity.  <anti jinx on> This is opposite of what is happening with the current Cubs <anti jinx off>

Let’s look at the top Cubs’ players on this day in 1977.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+010+ 5.98 Rick_Reuschel_CHN PITCH
+011+ 5.94 Bruce_Sutter_CHN PITCH
+029+ 4.93 Bobby_Murcer_CHN RF
+123+ 1.97 Willie_Hernandez_CHN PITCH
+159+ 1.43 Bill_Buckner_CHN 1B
+182+ 1.09 Larry_Biittner_CHN 1B-LF
+189+ 1.01 Jerry_Morales_CHN CF

Cubs had 7 guys in the top 200 then compared to 10 today.  Reuschel and Sutter almost in the top ten of the league.   Numbers drop off sharply and they had these guys dragging them down.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
-177- -1.30 Ivan_DeJesus_CHN X
-088- -2.12 Bill_Bonham_CHN PITCH
-070- -2.44 Mike_Krukow_CHN PITCH
-020- -3.67 Jim_Todd_CHN PITCH
-013- -3.95 Ray_Burris_CHN PITCH

Sometimes baseball is a cruel sport.

Finally, let’s look at the top ten, both batters and pitchers ranked together as always, in MLB on this day in 1977.

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+001+ 10.35 George_Foster_CIN LF-CF
+002+ 9.68 Frank_Tanana_ANA PITCH
+003+ 8.53 Nolan_Ryan_ANA PITCH
+004+ 7.85 Larry_Hisle_MIN LF-CF
+005+ 7.73 Greg_Luzinski_PHI LF
+006+ 7.08 Rod_Carew_MIN 1B
+007+ 6.70 Bert_Blyleven_TEX PITCH
+008+ 6.47 Steve_Carlton_PHI PITCH
+009+ 6.03 J.R._Richard_HOU PITCH
+010+ 5.98 Rick_Reuschel_CHN PITCH

Many of the above have a plaque in Cooperstown somewhere.  That is all for now.  Tomorrow or the day after we’ll do a roster dump.  Until then….