Race for MVP

This will be short since MVP is an individual title and the goal in baseball is to win the World Series and the Commissioners trophy, the one with all the flags.  Even though I am biased for the Cubs, there is no bias in this model, it spits out the numbers and ranks and cares not which team they play for.

I haven’t posted an MLB top ten this season because it doesn’t matter and only gets into a WAA vs. WAR debate for which I’m tired of.  There’s another WAR series coming in the off season that will drill down into  details as to how the WAR sausage is made.

There are two MVPs, one for AL and one for NL.  This model ranks everyone, AL and NL, pitchers and batters together.  Since pitchers have their own award, Cy Young, let’s assume MVP is for batters only even though that’s not always the case.  Below are the top ten batters in MLB according to this data model.

Top Ten hitters according to this data model

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+002+ 9.58 J.D._Martinez_BOS DH-LF-RF
+007+ 7.52 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B-SS-3B
+009+ 6.80 Khris_Davis_OAK DH-LF
+011+ 6.22 Mookie_Betts_BOS RF-CF
+012+ 6.15 Christian_Yelich_MIL LF-RF-CF
+013+ 5.96 Jose_Ramirez_CLE 3B
+015+ 5.71 Nolan_Arenado_COL 3B
+018+ 5.56 Jesus_Aguilar_MIL 1B
+020+ 5.38 Francisco_Lindor_CLE SS
+021+ 5.31 Eugenio_Suarez_CIN 3B

Javier Baez has been a leading NL MVP candidate since people started thinking about MVP this season.  The difference between Yelich and Baez is significant right now with a little more than a week left.

Top Ten hitters according to WAR

Rank WAR Name_TeamID Pos
+001+ 10.0 Mookie_Betts_BOS RF-CF
+003+ 9.6 Mike_Trout_ANA CF-DH
+006+ 8.1 Matt_Chapman_OAK 3B
+007+ 7.7 Jose_Ramirez_CLE 3B
+009+ 7.4 Francisco_Lindor_CLE SS
+010+ 6.8 Alex_Bregman_HOU 3B-SS
+013+ 6.6 Lorenzo_Cain_MIL CF
+014+ 6.0 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B-SS-3B
+015+ 6.0 Andrelton_Simmons_ANA SS
+016+ 5.9 J.D._Martinez_BOS DH-LF-RF

We use the same ranking method with WAR as with this data model;  ranking AL and NL, pitchers and batters together. A value system  needs to show it can properly tell who is better than who.  The above shows the top ten hitters according to WAR leaving out pitchers.

WAR has Lorenzo Cain ahead of Baez LOL!  This is why we don’t post top tens anymore.  :-)  At least Javy is second ahead of Yelich who is ranked #19 according to WAR.

That is all before I go into another WAR rant which I’m saving up for the off season.  Another Cubs series matchup coming Friday and maybe a  Cubs status and playoff horse race next week before the end of the season.  Until then ….