Cubs Status 9/23/2018

This will be the last Cubs status for regular season and then a final one perhaps during the playoffs sometime.

CHN Team Status

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
58.6 39.7 565 460 66 47 5.0 1.7 CHN 8/8/2018
38.7 44.9 586 494 71 50 7.0 1.3 CHN 8/18/2018
43.5 57.7 638 527 78 54 8.8 1.0 CHN 8/30/2018
42.0 60.8 688 577 84 60 6.2 2.1 CHN 9/12/2018
34.8 65.5 724 613 90 64 8.7 2.0 CHN 9/23/2018

The above shows team status for the today and the last four times we did this starting on August 8.  Since then BAT down almost as much as PITCH is up and the Cubs went 24-17 going from +19 to +26.  Unearned Runs above average (UR) up as well.  Slow and steady got the Cubs best record in NL so far.

Top Cubs

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+006+ 7.58 Javier_Baez_CHN 2B-SS-3B
+087+ 2.86 Steve_Cishek_CHN PITCH
+094+ 2.77 Jon_Lester_CHN PITCH
+109+ 2.58 Pedro_Strop_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 2.50 Cole_Hamels_CHN PITCH
+112+ 2.48 Anthony_Rizzo_CHN 1B
+132+ 2.25 Kyle_Hendricks_CHN PITCH
+082+ 2.12 Jesse_Chavez_CHN PITCH
+153+ 2.06 Carl_Edwards_Jr._CHN PITCH
+165+ 1.89 Brandon_Morrow_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 1.64 Jason_Heyward_CHN RF-CF
XXXXX 1.62 Justin_Wilson_CHN PITCH

Baez climbs to #6 in MLB and clear favorite for NL MVP using this data model which pulls no punches and has no bias for any team.  Lester popped back into the top 100.  He was in top 10 back in June.  Hamels dropped out of top 200 due to his TEX value.   The above shows he  has pitched well for the Cubs.  Hendricks clawing his way to the top again.  He pitches today.

CHN Tier Data

Type Tier Name_Teamid WAA
Lineups 2 CHN 14.20
SP 3 Cole_Hamels_CHN 1.11
SP 2 Kyle_Hendricks_CHN 2.25
SP 2 Jon_Lester_CHN 2.77
SP 3 Mike_Montgomery_CHN 0.99
SP 3 Jose_Quintana_CHN 0.00
RP 1 CHN 12.73

Relief still considered Tier 1.  Only Milwaukee and Oakland have better relief squads which we’ll see in the next playoff horse race post.  Hendricks and Lester have been climbing back to the top so that’s a good sign.  Let’s look at relief.

CHN Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+082+ 2.96 Jesse_Chavez_TOT PITCH
+087+ 2.86 Steve_Cishek_CHN PITCH
+109+ 2.58 Pedro_Strop_CHN PITCH
+153+ 2.06 Carl_Edwards_Jr._CHN PITCH
XXXXX 1.62 Justin_Wilson_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.61 Jorge_De_La_Rosa_TOT PITCH
XXXXX 0.40 Randy_Rosario_CHN PITCH
XXXXX 0.36 Alec_Mills_CHN PITCH
XXXXX -0.17 James_Norwood_CHN PITCH
XXXXX -0.32 Allen_Webster_CHN PITCH
XXXXX -0.69 Brandon_Kintzler_TOT PITCH
XXXXX -0.99 Dillon_Maples_CHN PITCH
-042- -2.88 Tyler_Chatwood_CHN PITCH
-038- -2.96 Brian_Duensing_CHN PITCH
-030- -3.32 Jaime_Garcia_TOT PITCH
Total 2.12

This is everyone listed on the roster as relievers with the expanded roster.  This model only counts the top 7 in September which is skewing the averages for that upward league wide.  Four guys in top 200 with Chavez and Chavez virtually tied for being the best.  I hear Strop may be closer which is an entire subject matter of its own.  He’s close enough to be considered the best as well.  If Edwards can hang in there for the playoffs Cubs pitching should be OK.

That’s all for now.  New series with PIT tomorrow and then the last playoff horse race using expanded rosters.  Until then ….