2018 Playoff Horse Race Part 4

This will be the last playoff horse race post until after the wild card games when all 8 teams left have published their playoff rosters.  That starts the final stretch to the World Series finish line.  The table below still uses September expanded rosters.  Part 3 was published September 16.

TeamID W-L Total Hitters Pitchers Starters Relief
LAN 18 51.1 23.6 27.5 17.2 10.3
HOU 41 50.2 17.7 32.5 20.8 11.7
BOS 54 49.4 28.5 20.9 11.8 9.1
CLE 19 44.9 19.2 25.8 19.6 6.1
NYA 35 39.0 21.8 17.2 6.1 11.1
OAK 32 38.9 18.9 20.0 6.1 13.9
CHN 27 36.5 16.2 20.4 7.5 12.8
ATL 20 35.1 16.8 18.3 9.9 8.4
SLN 18 32.8 14.5 18.2 10.9 7.3
MIL 22 31.9 13.3 18.6 4.9 13.7
WAS 0 25.1 11.2 13.9 8.0 5.9
COL 15 21.2 11.5 9.7 0.8 8.9
TBA 19 17.6 -2.5 20.1 11.7 8.4
PHI 1 16.9 2.6 14.3 6.2 8.1
ARI 2 16.7 0.3 16.3 6.1 10.2

The above table is sorted by Total team WAA based upon current rosters and value according to this data model.

Bold dark blue teamids are those leading their divisions, green those holding a wild card spot, tan those still in the hunt.  AL has been locked up for awhile and right now only COL has a slim chance at overtaking SLN or LAN.

This table is somewhat different than last week.  The Dodgers ranked high in this table from Part 1 and now they’re essentially tied for first with Boston and Houston.  Cleveland rounds out  the top 4 and then Yankees.  Atlanta dropped.  National League teams round out the bottom of those teams with playoff spots.

Luckily for NL teams they have to play each other before  the World Series.  The above table has Dodgers  favored for NL and many teams close for AL.  We’ll see.   With the app you would be able to drill down into each team to see more detail as to what happened since last week.

The bold blue in  data columns are leaders, regular blue second for that category.  Even though Cubs have the best record in NL, they’re valued 2nd according to this data model.  Other than home field advantage, win/loss records are seasonal and cannot represent current team talent.  Rosters are constantly in flux throughout a season for all teams.

Not much more to say about the above.  Cubs start a new series with Pirates today.  Until then ….