Playoffs Handicapping Report 10/9/2018

DATE 10_09_8:05_PM BOS NYA

LINEAWAY BOS [ 0.476 ] < 0.476 > +110 $210
STARTAWAY -0.73(0.483) Rick_Porcello_BOS TIER 3
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LINEHOME NYA [ 0.545 ] < 0.545 > -120 $183
STARTHOME 1.70(0.550) CC_Sabathia_NYA TIER 3
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TIER COMBOS
BOS Lineup 1 ==> NYA Starter 3 / Relief 1 == 0.482 BOS 4.73 runs
NYA Lineup 1 ==> BOS Starter 3 / Relief 3 == 0.518 NYA 4.94 runs

EXPECTED VALUE BOS NYA
Tier Combo 101 95
Home Field 97 99

Two mediocre starters for each team.  Neither pitcher has pitched well in their post season career.  It might be useful to add that to these playoff reports.  TC simulations falls within the house spread so this game is a complete discard.  Bettors had irrational exuberance for NYA yesterday and today that is gone.  We’ll see what happens.