2018 World Series Report Part 4

Another World Series Report after not being able to watch the end of Game 3 because the bar closed.

DATE 10_27_8:05_PM BOS LAN

LINEAWAY BOS [ 0.400 ] < 0.426 > +135 $235
STARTAWAY 0.92(0.532) Eduardo_Rodriguez_BOS TIER 3
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LINEHOME LAN [ 0.615 ] < 0.592 > -145 $168
STARTHOME 1.26(0.543) Rich_Hill_LAN TIER 3
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TIER COMBOS
BOS Lineup 1 ==> LAN Starter 3 / Relief 2 == 0.507 BOS 4.86 runs
LAN Lineup 1 ==> BOS Starter 3 / Relief 3 == 0.493 LAN 4.79 runs

EXPECTED VALUE BOS LAN
Tier Combo 119 83
Home Field 108 91

Tier Combo simulations favor Boston very slightly due to  starting pitching evening out.  Lines are about the same as yesterday.  Simulation has no way of knowing how badly hurt each team’s relief staff is due to the marathon game yesterday.