Hall of Fame Part 2

It appears the HOF voting table referenced in Part 1 had percentages from last season.  They just held a vote and Mariano Rivera got unanimous vote.  According to this data model the career of Mariano Rivera is slightly below Curt Schilling ( tables at the end).   He is ranked #95 in MLB history which should clearly put him into HOF but HOF voters are a fickle bunch.  They never agree on anything.  How could Rivera get unanimous first ballot?

Simple.  Mariano Rivera is by far the most valuable player in post season history according to this data model and anyone who looks at his play off stats.

Top 10 Players in Playoff Season

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+001+ 9.30 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
+002+ 6.17 Christy_Mathewson_SFN PITCH
+003+ 5.46 Bernie_Williams_NYA RF-DH-CF
+004+ 4.89 Manny_Ramirez_TOT LF
+005+ 4.62 Albert_Pujols_TOT 1B-DH
+006+ 4.37 John_Smoltz_TOT PITCH
+007+ 4.18 David_Ortiz_TOT DH
+008+ 4.05 Curt_Schilling_TOT PITCH
+009+ 4.01 Carlos_Beltran_TOT DH
+010+ 3.78 Babe_Ruth_TOT OF-RF-LF

All playoff games are treated as a single season.  A usual modern season will have around 1500 unique players.  From 1903 to present there have been more than 7800 unique players or around 5x a standard season.

Correction 2/22/2019:  From 1903 – present there are only around 4000 unique players or around 3x a regular season.  I messed up the DB search.

Bernie Williams in the above list had 545 playoff season plate appearances which is almost a full regular season of playing time.   Babe Ruth, on the other hand, had only 167 playoff season plate appearances yet he still ranks #10.  He ranks #67 as a pitcher and if you add the two together, which you can,  Ruth would be ranked #5.  He’s the only player in MLB history with both a stellar PITCH and BAT record.

Due to the fact that there are far more playoff games played now than in the past modern players will eventually rise to the top of this list.  Mariano Rivera will probably never be topped however.   Christy Mathewson started his career in 1900 and held the top spot until Rivera came along.

Let’s look at Mariano’s extended record.

Rank WAA IP ERA Gs Gr Name_TeamID Pos
+001+ 9.30 141.0 0.70 0 97 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH

141 innings pitched in 97 games in relief is around two complete reliever seasons and almost a complete season for a starter.  An ERA under 1 is simply phenomenal that may never happen again.  Curt Schilling is also in the top ten at #8.

Below are the details of Mariano Rivera’s career according to both this data model and WAR.

Mariano Rivera Career

WAA

Year Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
1995 -163- -1.64 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1996 +033+ 6.40 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1997 +070+ 4.07 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1998 +090+ 3.57 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1999 +064+ 4.64 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2000 +101+ 3.49 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2001 +081+ 3.86 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2002 XXXXX 1.62 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2003 +066+ 4.43 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2004 +052+ 4.64 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2005 +031+ 5.38 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2006 +046+ 4.77 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2007 +162+ 2.18 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2008 +044+ 4.83 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2009 +065+ 3.93 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2010 +093+ 3.19 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2011 +095+ 2.88 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2012 XXXXX 0.36 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2013 +110+ 2.65 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
Total 65.25  1960

His best year was 1996, his second season and second best year was 2005.  Overall he was consistently good every single year.  The ranking score highlighted in brown can be directly compared with the ranking score calculated for the WAR value system below.

WAR

Year Rank WAR IP Name_TeamID Pos
1995 XXXXX 0.2 67.0 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1996 +048+ 5.0 107.2 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1997 +088+ 3.7 71.2 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1998 +151+ 2.8 61.1 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
1999 +100+ 3.5 69.0 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2000 +156+ 2.6 75.2 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2001 +111+ 3.3 80.2 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2002 XXXXX 1.6 46.0 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2003 +097+ 3.6 70.2 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2004 +068+ 4.2 78.2 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2005 +074+ 4.0 78.1 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2006 +083+ 3.9 75.0 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2007 XXXXX 1.9 71.1 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2008 +071+ 4.3 70.2 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2009 +099+ 3.5 66.1 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2010 +179+ 2.4 60.0 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2011 +112+ 3.2 61.1 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2012 XXXXX 0.4 8.1 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
2013 +172+ 2.5 64.0 Mariano_Rivera_NYA PITCH
Total 56.6  1391

With a 1391 ranking score WAR has him less valued than this data model by a significant margin.  I do not have any WAR information about post season and doubt that can even be calculated.

Not much more to say about Mariano Rivera except he totally deserves a unanimous first ballot induction.  In subsequent parts will cover the other inductees and the ones who almost made it.  Until then ….