Hall of Fame Part 3

In this part we’ll cover the other 3 MLB hall of fame inductees from the latest vote which can be seen here.   Below is a bunch of career tables showing year by year valuations for both WAR and WAA value systems.  According to this data model all 3 deserve HOF induction with the weakest being Edgar Martinez who squeaked in on his last year of eligibility.

This data model abhors tables of numbers but there is no other way to present these long careers.  Comments will be interspersed among the tables.  Order is their appearance on the HOF voting ballot according to this baseball-reference web site.

Edgar Martinez WAA

Edgar Martinez is ranked #214 of all post 1900 MLB players according to this data model which just barely gets him in.  The threshold should be somewhere between 200 and 250.  Ranking score for this data model is 1120.  WAR has him ranked much higher with a ranking score of 1974.

Year Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
1987 XXXXX -0.02 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1988 XXXXX -0.34 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1989 XXXXX -0.15 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1990 XXXXX -0.32 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1991 XXXXX 1.13 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1992 +034+ 5.17 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B-DH
1993 XXXXX -0.53 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH-3B
1994 XXXXX 0.10 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B-DH
1995 +005+ 8.53 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1996 +024+ 7.33 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1997 +041+ 5.50 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1998 +117+ 2.88 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1999 +180+ 1.83 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2000 +013+ 8.13 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2001 +030+ 6.36 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2002 XXXXX 0.82 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2003 +129+ 2.77 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2004 -093- -2.44 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
Total 46.75  1120

Edgar Martinez WAR

Below is an extended WAR table available for hitters in WAR.  WAR has an offensive component oWAR and a defensive component dWAR.  The two cannot be added together to make WAR because WAR does not have additive properties.

Normally this model adheres to a Keep It Simple Policy (KISS) meaning fewer entries in a table the better.  The total (or whatever) WAR is used for sorting and ranking both pitchers and batters together, like what is done for this data model throughout.

Year Rank WAR oWAR dWAR PA Name_Tm Pos
1987 XXXXX 0.2 0.4 -0.2 46 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1988 XXXXX -0.1 0.1 -0.2 38 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1989 XXXXX 0.5 0.0 0.6 196 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1990 +022+ 5.5 4.2 1.5 572 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1991 +017+ 6.1 5.5 0.8 642 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B
1992 +011+ 6.6 7.1 -0.7 592 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B-DH
1993 XXXXX 0.2 0.5 -0.4 165 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH-3B
1994 +079+ 3.0 2.4 0.5 387 Edgar_Martinez_SEA 3B-DH
1995 +006+ 7.0 7.2 -1.4 639 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1996 +021+ 6.4 6.4 -1.1 634 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1997 +020+ 6.2 6.1 -1.3 678 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1998 +044+ 5.6 5.6 -1.4 672 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
1999 +046+ 4.9 4.8 -1.1 608 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2000 +029+ 5.6 5.6 -1.2 665 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2001 +051+ 4.8 4.8 -1.1 581 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2002 +163+ 2.6 2.6 -0.8 407 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2003 +117+ 3.3 3.3 -1.2 603 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
2004 XXXXX -0.3 -0.4 -1.0 549 Edgar_Martinez_SEA DH
Total 68.1 1974

WAR has a ranking score of 1974, significantly higher than this data model’s 1120.   We know from his poor dWAR numbers this is totally due to offense which makes him a good direct comparison between the two models.  This model shows why it took him 10 years to get in.  He should have gotten in much sooner according to WAR.

WAR tends to over value hitters based upon anecdotal observation.  We know the sum of WAR hitters consists of 60% of the league total of 1000 year after year.  This might be due to overvaluing oWAR.   Perhaps we’ll explore this further … perhaps not.  It doesn’t really matter.

Roy Halladay WAA

This data model has Roy Halladay ranked #125 out of all post 1900 MLB players so he clearly qualifies for HOF and he gets in on first ballot with 85% of the vote.  He had very bad years in 2000 and 2013 but made all that negative value back and more with many superb top ten years.

WAR and WAA are almost in complete agreement according to ranking scores highlighted in brown.  Both systems pegged him #1 in the bottom 200 in 2000.

Year Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
1998 XXXXX 0.80 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
1999 +129+ 2.77 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2000 -001- -9.24 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2001 +111+ 2.94 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2002 +014+ 7.58 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2003 +015+ 7.33 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2004 XXXXX 1.09 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2005 +024+ 6.15 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2006 +017+ 7.08 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2007 +061+ 3.97 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2008 +006+ 8.84 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2009 +008+ 8.42 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2010 +003+ 9.37 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
2011 +006+ 8.32 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
2012 -128- -1.81 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
2013 -027- -4.20 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
Total 59.41  1362

Roy Halladay WAR

Year Rank WAR IP Name_Tm Pos
1998 XXXXX 0.4 14.0 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
1999 +160+ 2.6 149.1 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2000 -001- -2.8 67.2 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2001 +125+ 3.0 105.1 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2002 +005+ 7.4 239.1 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2003 +004+ 8.1 266.0 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2004 +179+ 2.4 133.0 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2005 +025+ 5.5 141.2 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2006 +029+ 5.2 220.0 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2007 +098+ 3.5 225.1 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2008 +019+ 6.2 246.0 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2009 +011+ 6.9 239.0 Roy_Halladay_TOR PITCH
2010 +002+ 8.3 250.2 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
2011 +001+ 8.9 233.2 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
2012 XXXXX 0.9 156.1 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
2013 -065- -0.9 62.0 Roy_Halladay_PHI PITCH
Total 65.6  1408

Mike Mussina WAA

Mike Mussina gets voted in after 6 years with 76% vote.  This data model has him ranked #123, almost exactly tied with Roy Halladay above.   WAR has his career valued much higher than all current HOF inductees based upon ranking score.

Even though Mussina and Halladay are virtually tied in career WAA,  Mussina has a much higher ranking score.   Career WAA is the only factor used for ranking purposes, both seasonal and year to year.  Ranking scores are only computed to compare how WAA values a player with WAR.

Year Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
1991 +134+ 2.10 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1992 +012+ 6.66 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1993 XXXXX -0.99 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1994 +008+ 6.38 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1995 +019+ 6.38 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1996 XXXXX -1.49 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1997 +030+ 5.96 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1998 +065+ 4.79 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1999 +037+ 5.84 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
2000 +037+ 5.61 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
2001 +026+ 6.64 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2002 XXXXX 1.03 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2003 +055+ 4.77 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2004 XXXXX -0.44 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2005 XXXXX -0.36 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2006 +051+ 4.64 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2007 -099- -2.44 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2008 +049+ 4.51 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
Total 59.59 1776

Mike Mussina WAR

Year Rank WAR IP Name_Tm Pos
1991 XXXXX 2.2 87.2 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1992 +004+ 8.2 241.0 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1993 XXXXX 1.5 167.2 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1994 +012+ 5.4 176.1 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1995 +014+ 6.1 221.2 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1996 +086+ 3.6 243.1 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1997 +027+ 5.5 224.2 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1998 +055+ 5.0 206.1 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
1999 +065+ 4.4 203.1 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
2000 +026+ 5.6 237.2 Mike_Mussina_BAL PITCH
2001 +013+ 7.1 228.2 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2002 +056+ 4.5 215.2 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2003 +013+ 6.6 214.2 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2004 +177+ 2.4 164.2 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2005 +110+ 3.4 179.2 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2006 +035+ 5.0 197.1 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2007 XXXXX 1.0 152.0 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
2008 +038+ 5.2 200.1 Mike_Mussina_NYA PITCH
Total 82.7  2269

Next season Clemens and Bonds will probably get in breaking the no PEDs seal.  We’ll run through a couple of interesting careers who didn’t make the 75% in the next, and possibly final, part to this series.  Until then ….