In this part we’ll cover the other 3 MLB hall of fame inductees from the latest vote which can be seen here. Below is a bunch of career tables showing year by year valuations for both WAR and WAA value systems. According to this data model all 3 deserve HOF induction with the weakest being Edgar Martinez who squeaked in on his last year of eligibility.
This data model abhors tables of numbers but there is no other way to present these long careers. Comments will be interspersed among the tables. Order is their appearance on the HOF voting ballot according to this baseball-reference web site.
Edgar Martinez WAA
Edgar Martinez is ranked #214 of all post 1900 MLB players according to this data model which just barely gets him in. The threshold should be somewhere between 200 and 250. Ranking score for this data model is 1120. WAR has him ranked much higher with a ranking score of 1974.
| Year | Rank | WAA | Name_TeamID | Pos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1987 | XXXXX | -0.02 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1988 | XXXXX | -0.34 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1989 | XXXXX | -0.15 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1990 | XXXXX | -0.32 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1991 | XXXXX | 1.13 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1992 | +034+ | 5.17 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B-DH | |
| 1993 | XXXXX | -0.53 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH-3B | |
| 1994 | XXXXX | 0.10 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B-DH | |
| 1995 | +005+ | 8.53 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1996 | +024+ | 7.33 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1997 | +041+ | 5.50 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1998 | +117+ | 2.88 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1999 | +180+ | 1.83 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2000 | +013+ | 8.13 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2001 | +030+ | 6.36 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2002 | XXXXX | 0.82 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2003 | +129+ | 2.77 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2004 | -093- | -2.44 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| Total | 46.75 | 1120 |
Edgar Martinez WAR
Below is an extended WAR table available for hitters in WAR. WAR has an offensive component oWAR and a defensive component dWAR. The two cannot be added together to make WAR because WAR does not have additive properties.
Normally this model adheres to a Keep It Simple Policy (KISS) meaning fewer entries in a table the better. The total (or whatever) WAR is used for sorting and ranking both pitchers and batters together, like what is done for this data model throughout.
| Year | Rank | WAR | oWAR | dWAR | PA | Name_Tm | Pos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1987 | XXXXX | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.2 | 46 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1988 | XXXXX | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 38 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1989 | XXXXX | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 196 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1990 | +022+ | 5.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 572 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1991 | +017+ | 6.1 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 642 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B | |
| 1992 | +011+ | 6.6 | 7.1 | -0.7 | 592 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B-DH | |
| 1993 | XXXXX | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.4 | 165 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH-3B | |
| 1994 | +079+ | 3.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 387 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | 3B-DH | |
| 1995 | +006+ | 7.0 | 7.2 | -1.4 | 639 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1996 | +021+ | 6.4 | 6.4 | -1.1 | 634 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1997 | +020+ | 6.2 | 6.1 | -1.3 | 678 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1998 | +044+ | 5.6 | 5.6 | -1.4 | 672 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 1999 | +046+ | 4.9 | 4.8 | -1.1 | 608 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2000 | +029+ | 5.6 | 5.6 | -1.2 | 665 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2001 | +051+ | 4.8 | 4.8 | -1.1 | 581 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2002 | +163+ | 2.6 | 2.6 | -0.8 | 407 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2003 | +117+ | 3.3 | 3.3 | -1.2 | 603 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| 2004 | XXXXX | -0.3 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 549 | Edgar_Martinez_SEA | DH | |
| Total | 68.1 | 1974 |
WAR has a ranking score of 1974, significantly higher than this data model’s 1120. We know from his poor dWAR numbers this is totally due to offense which makes him a good direct comparison between the two models. This model shows why it took him 10 years to get in. He should have gotten in much sooner according to WAR.
WAR tends to over value hitters based upon anecdotal observation. We know the sum of WAR hitters consists of 60% of the league total of 1000 year after year. This might be due to overvaluing oWAR. Perhaps we’ll explore this further … perhaps not. It doesn’t really matter.
Roy Halladay WAA
This data model has Roy Halladay ranked #125 out of all post 1900 MLB players so he clearly qualifies for HOF and he gets in on first ballot with 85% of the vote. He had very bad years in 2000 and 2013 but made all that negative value back and more with many superb top ten years.
WAR and WAA are almost in complete agreement according to ranking scores highlighted in brown. Both systems pegged him #1 in the bottom 200 in 2000.
| Year | Rank | WAA | Name_TeamID | Pos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | XXXXX | 0.80 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 1999 | +129+ | 2.77 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2000 | -001- | -9.24 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2001 | +111+ | 2.94 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2002 | +014+ | 7.58 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2003 | +015+ | 7.33 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2004 | XXXXX | 1.09 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2005 | +024+ | 6.15 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2006 | +017+ | 7.08 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2007 | +061+ | 3.97 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2008 | +006+ | 8.84 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2009 | +008+ | 8.42 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2010 | +003+ | 9.37 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| 2011 | +006+ | 8.32 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| 2012 | -128- | -1.81 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| 2013 | -027- | -4.20 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| Total | 59.41 | 1362 |
Roy Halladay WAR
| Year | Rank | WAR | IP | Name_Tm | Pos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | XXXXX | 0.4 | 14.0 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 1999 | +160+ | 2.6 | 149.1 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2000 | -001- | -2.8 | 67.2 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2001 | +125+ | 3.0 | 105.1 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2002 | +005+ | 7.4 | 239.1 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2003 | +004+ | 8.1 | 266.0 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2004 | +179+ | 2.4 | 133.0 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2005 | +025+ | 5.5 | 141.2 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2006 | +029+ | 5.2 | 220.0 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2007 | +098+ | 3.5 | 225.1 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2008 | +019+ | 6.2 | 246.0 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2009 | +011+ | 6.9 | 239.0 | Roy_Halladay_TOR | PITCH | |
| 2010 | +002+ | 8.3 | 250.2 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| 2011 | +001+ | 8.9 | 233.2 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| 2012 | XXXXX | 0.9 | 156.1 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| 2013 | -065- | -0.9 | 62.0 | Roy_Halladay_PHI | PITCH | |
| Total | 65.6 | 1408 |
Mike Mussina WAA
Mike Mussina gets voted in after 6 years with 76% vote. This data model has him ranked #123, almost exactly tied with Roy Halladay above. WAR has his career valued much higher than all current HOF inductees based upon ranking score.
Even though Mussina and Halladay are virtually tied in career WAA, Mussina has a much higher ranking score. Career WAA is the only factor used for ranking purposes, both seasonal and year to year. Ranking scores are only computed to compare how WAA values a player with WAR.
| Year | Rank | WAA | Name_TeamID | Pos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | +134+ | 2.10 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1992 | +012+ | 6.66 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1993 | XXXXX | -0.99 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1994 | +008+ | 6.38 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1995 | +019+ | 6.38 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1996 | XXXXX | -1.49 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1997 | +030+ | 5.96 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1998 | +065+ | 4.79 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1999 | +037+ | 5.84 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 2000 | +037+ | 5.61 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 2001 | +026+ | 6.64 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2002 | XXXXX | 1.03 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2003 | +055+ | 4.77 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2004 | XXXXX | -0.44 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2005 | XXXXX | -0.36 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2006 | +051+ | 4.64 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2007 | -099- | -2.44 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2008 | +049+ | 4.51 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| Total | 59.59 | 1776 |
Mike Mussina WAR
| Year | Rank | WAR | IP | Name_Tm | Pos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | XXXXX | 2.2 | 87.2 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1992 | +004+ | 8.2 | 241.0 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1993 | XXXXX | 1.5 | 167.2 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1994 | +012+ | 5.4 | 176.1 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1995 | +014+ | 6.1 | 221.2 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1996 | +086+ | 3.6 | 243.1 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1997 | +027+ | 5.5 | 224.2 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1998 | +055+ | 5.0 | 206.1 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 1999 | +065+ | 4.4 | 203.1 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 2000 | +026+ | 5.6 | 237.2 | Mike_Mussina_BAL | PITCH | |
| 2001 | +013+ | 7.1 | 228.2 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2002 | +056+ | 4.5 | 215.2 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2003 | +013+ | 6.6 | 214.2 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2004 | +177+ | 2.4 | 164.2 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2005 | +110+ | 3.4 | 179.2 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2006 | +035+ | 5.0 | 197.1 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2007 | XXXXX | 1.0 | 152.0 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| 2008 | +038+ | 5.2 | 200.1 | Mike_Mussina_NYA | PITCH | |
| Total | 82.7 | 2269 |
Next season Clemens and Bonds will probably get in breaking the no PEDs seal. We’ll run through a couple of interesting careers who didn’t make the 75% in the next, and possibly final, part to this series. Until then ….