Cubs White Sox Matchup

Cubs play the White Sox for the first time this year.  Let;’s see what the White Sox have been up to lately.

CHA Team Status

Tm W L BAT PITCH UR
CHA 21 25 -14.0 -22.8 -2.7 20190521
CHA 34 36 -39.6 -19.7 1.5 20190618

The Sox went 13-11 gaining 2 games in the last 4 weeks which isn’t bad.  Their hitting tanked however and PITCH maintaining a steady underwater level.  Based on run differential the White Sox should be farther under 0.500 than 2 games but the W/L columns are all that matter in baseball.

CHA CHN 06_18_8:05_PM

WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
CHA -2 0.333 0.367 X -1.19 -3.00 0.76
CHN 7 0.697 0.633 X 2.05 2.62 0.31

Cubs ahead in team WAA, Lineup, and Starter.  Sox have an edge on relief.  Vegas has the White Sox a huge underdog.  TC Sim agrees.

Starters WAA WinPct IP Tier
Ivan_Nova_CHA -2.86 0.334 77.3 -3.00
Cole_Hamels_CHN 2.94 0.656 84.7 2.62

Nova is a maxed out terrible pitcher.  Max tier numbers will be extended to -4 in next iteration.  Hamels is ranked #31 in MLB and a top tier pitcher close to +3 tier number.

CHA Starters

Rank WAA Name_TeamID IP
+004+ 4.70 Lucas_Giolito_CHA 81.0
XXXXX -0.97 Odrisamer_Despaigne_CHA 10.3
-030- -2.33 Manny_Banuelos_CHA 45.7
-018- -2.86 Ivan_Nova_CHA 77.3
-016- -3.04 Reynaldo_Lopez_CHA 81.3
Total -4.50 0.431

These are the White Sox starters Cubs may have to deal with.  Giolito is on track for AL Cy Young if he keeps this up according to this data model but he’s virtually tied with Justin Verlander.  More on this when we get closer to All Star picks.  The rest of this staff is completely terrible.

CHA Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID IP
+101+ 1.78 Evan_Marshall_CHA 16.3
+131+ 1.53 Alex_Colome_CHA 27.3
+144+ 1.43 Aaron_Bummer_CHA 20.7
XXXXX 0.82 Juan_Minaya_CHA 19.0
XXXXX -0.06 Jose_Ruiz_CHA 16.7
XXXXX -0.61 Josh_Osich_CHA 21.3
XXXXX -0.69 Thyago_Vieira_CHA 7.0
XXXXX -1.13 Kelvin_Herrera_CHA 26.0
Total 3.07 0.590

Relief not bad right now.

CHA Lineup 06162019

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX 0.00 Leury_Garcia_CHA CF-RF 260
XXXXX 0.38 Tim_Anderson_CHA SS 246
XXXXX 1.24 Jose_Abreu_CHA 1B-DH 296
XXXXX -0.13 James_McCann_CHA CR 183
XXXXX 0.08 Eloy_Jimenez_CHA LF 179
XXXXX 0.67 Yoan_Moncada_CHA 3B 274
XXXXX -0.94 Welington_Castillo_CHA CR 120
-043- -1.93 Yolmer_Sanchez_CHA 2B 211
XXXXX -1.05 Ryan_Cordell_CHA RF 120
Total -1.68 0.483

Since the game starts tonight the above is their last lineup which is underwater.  This should be expected based up on their dismal BAT in team status.

Still a long season ahead of the White Sox and being only -2 team WAA means they’re still in the hunt for a WIld Card spot.  Minnesota is running away with the AL Central at +23 so that will be difficult and perhaps impossible to catch based upon the current White Sox team.  It will be interesting if they choose to be buyers or sellers at the trade deadline this year.

That is all for now.  Until then ….