Cubs play the Reds again after playing them around 2 weeks ago. Let’s take a look at what the Reds have been up to.
CIN Team Status
They went 4-5 losing 1 game in the last 2 weeks. PITCH down a little and BAT around the same. This is a team going sideways. In past years Reds had great hitting and terrible pitching.
CIN CHN 07_15_8:05_PM
Vegas and Tier Combo simulation pretty much in agreement. CIN has a maxed out starter today but Cubs have a better lineup and relief. The L, S, and R columns are tier numbers used in simulation for Lineups, today’s starter, and Relief.
Two very good pitchers starting tonight. Castillo is top of MLB and in contention for a Cy Young so far this season. Hendricks chugging along ranked around #100 which is pretty good. He usually percolates to the top second half of season.
WinPct provides context for pitchers and is a mere calculation of WAA and time, time being Innings Pitched or Outs for pitchers as described here. No one is ranked based upon WinPct because it’s a rate.
Pretty decent set of starters which is unusual for the Reds.
This relief staff is slightly below league average of 2.45 which is based upon current rosters.
CIN Lineup 7/14/2019
This is a -1 tier number lineup from yesterday which is 1/2 standard deviation below league average based upon current MLB rosters. Joey Votto isn’t in this lineup but if he is, at WAA = -2.41, CIN lineup only gets worse.
Not much more to say about this series. Until then ….