Cubs start a series with the Padres today. This will be another matchup dump with commentary intermixed.
SDN Team Status
Padres went 8-12 losing 4 games in the last 4 weeks so they’re trending downward once again. Player values will reflect these losses which are mostly due to poor hitting based upon that BAT number.
SDN CHN 07_19_2:20_PM
Vegas has the Cubs heavily favored for this game. The L, S, and R categories are not that different so TC Sim has the Cubs less favored. Cubs are fielding one of their weakest lineups today — partly because the new catcher from KCA is playing.
Lester is a better pitcher but both are above average.
The above is a very capable starting rotation.
Relief with a Tier # of -0.96 is almost 1/2 standard deviation below league average according current roster values. These tables will soon be updated to include tier numbers published in the above game table. Tier numbers provide a better context to WAA than WinPct. WinPct is based upon seasonal data, Tier Numbers are based on current roster data.
SDN Lineup Today
This is an above league average lineup based upon seasonal league averages but below based upon current rosters. Machado and Tatis are ranked according to this data model. WAR has them ranked #71 and #19 respectively. Renfroe is ranked #71 so according to WAR their poor hitting is due to the other 5 guys above. Whatever. The Padres don’t have a -37.4 BAT derived from seasonal run differential because there are three superstars hitting in their lineup every day.
That’s enough for now. Playoff Horse Race coming tomorrow and then another Cubs Status since that hasn’t been done in over a month now. Unlike Draft Kings leagues, A real baseball season moves at a glacial pace. Until then ….