Cubs Mets start another series tonight in New York. Let’s see what the Mets have been up to since the Cubs last saw them 9 weeks ago.
NYN Team Status
Nine weeks ago Mets were -5 and today they’re +4 gaining 9 games or almost 1 game per week. A six month baseball season has 24 weeks. A team winning +1 per week ends the season +24 or 94 – 68. If Mets keep this pace the next 5 weeks they’ll end this season at +8 or +10 ( a season can’t end on an odd real team WAA ).
During these 9 weeks Mets BAT went down a little but their PITCH soared as well as their UR. Mets are in the hunt for a Wild Card spot and right behind the Cubs. Teams that want to make it past the first round of playoffs usually excel in September.
CHN NYN 08_27_7:10_PM
Mets have a very good starter pitching tonight and a slightly better lineup based on each team’s last game. Cubs have better relief. Cubs lineup last game was slightly under water. Mets’ was slightly above water.
At 0.524/0.500 in favor of Cubs, Vegas is taking a we don’t know attitude to this game. TC Sim based on tier numbers from L, S, and R columns has this game close to even steven as well.
Darvish had his ups and downs but still above water. Stroman is pitching like his 2017 season.
Three starters in top 100. This is a pitching staff that could breeze through NLDS — except they’ll probably have to face the Dodgers if it comes to that.
This is an under water relief staff which contradicts PITCH in team status. The excellent starting rotation above compensates. At 63 IP Seth Lugo has put in the most work this season and he’s well above water ranked in top 200. Justin Wilson, former Cub pitching well also. Cubs need to knock a starter out in 6th inning or go extra innings to get deep into this staff. Looks like Mets acquired Brad Brach. Let’s see how he’s been pitching since being traded.
Brach went -0.42 with the Mets so far.
NYN Lineup 08252019
As expected based on their close to average BAT in team status, this is a close to average lineup. Average team lineup based on current rosters of 30 MLB teams is now +4.36 WAA.
Cubs are up on the Mets in Wild Card and behind the Cardinals in NL Central. If Mets sweep this series they will overtake Cubs in Wild Card race too.
Not much more to say about this. Historical playoff handicapping based upon estimated rosters coming soon. Next Cubs status coming near the end of month 5 of this 2019 MLB season. Until then ….