Cubs Reds started their series yesterday with the Cubs winning. Let’s look at this Reds team.
CIN Team Status
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 56 | 61 | -34.6 | 59.7 | 16.0 | 20190813 |
| CIN | 70 | 81 | -55.8 | 48.1 | 16.5 | 20190917 |
In the last 5 weeks Reds went from -5 to -11 losing 6 games which is pretty much a giving up for the season record. BAT tanked even further and PITCH declined.
CIN CHN 09_17_8:05_PM
| WAA | Vegas | TC Sim | EV | L | S | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | -11 | 0.408 | 0.424 | 104 | -1.38 | 3.77 | -0.61 |
| CHN | 14 | 0.608 | 0.576 | 94 | 1.12 | 0.88 | 2.31 |
Cubs have better seasonal team WAA, Lineup and Relief. Reds have a better starter pitching tonight. Vegas and TC Sim very similar for this game.
| Starters | WAA | WinPct | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny_Gray_CIN | 6.61 | 0.682 | 163.7 | 3.77 |
| Yu_Darvish_CHN | 2.16 | 0.560 | 163.3 | 0.88 |
Sonny Gray pitched well this year so far. Darvish is also pitching well considering how he started the year.
CIN Starters
| Rank | WAA | Name_TeamID | IP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +014+ | 6.61 | Sonny_Gray_CIN | 163.7 | |
| +027+ | 5.48 | Luis_Castillo_CIN | 178.7 | |
| +151+ | 2.21 | Anthony_DeSclafani_CIN | 155.7 | |
| XXXXX | 0.63 | Trevor_Bauer_CIN | 206.0 | |
| XXXXX | -1.05 | Alex_Wood_CIN | 35.7 | |
| -194- | -1.55 | Tyler_Mahle_CIN | 116.3 | |
| Total | 12.33 | 0.565 |
Gray is their best starter now surpassing Castillo.; both having excellent years. With expanded rosters Reds fielding 6 starters. Their top 5 make a pretty decent starting rotation for any team.
CIN Relief
| Rank | WAA | Name_TeamID | IP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +125+ | 2.58 | Michael_Lorenzen_CIN | 78.0 | |
| XXXXX | 1.62 | Amir_Garrett_CIN | 53.0 | |
| XXXXX | 0.86 | Robert_Stephenson_CIN | 59.7 | |
| XXXXX | 0.50 | Raisel_Iglesias_CIN | 62.3 | |
| XXXXX | 0.17 | Matt_Bowman_CIN | 27.3 | |
| XXXXX | 0 | Keury_Mella | 0 | |
| XXXXX | -0.17 | Lucas_Sims_CIN | 38.0 | |
| XXXXX | -0.17 | Joel_Kuhnel_CIN | 8.3 | |
| XXXXX | -0.17 | Jimmy_Herget_CIN | 4.3 | |
| XXXXX | -1.05 | Sal_Romano_CIN | 10.0 | |
| -135- | -1.91 | [A-Z].J._Alaniz_CIN | 13.7 | |
| -034- | -3.42 | Kevin_Gausman_CIN | 97.7 | |
| Total | -1.16 | TIER=-0.61 |
This is a below average relief squad. A negative tier number means even their top 8 are below league average based on current rosters.
CIN Lineup Today
| Rank | WAA | Name_TeamID | Pos | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXXXX | -0.44 | Josh_VanMeter_CIN | LF-2B-1B | 235 |
| -094- | -2.27 | Joey_Votto_CIN | 1B | 566 |
| +093+ | 3.13 | Eugenio_Suarez_CIN | 3B | 616 |
| +180+ | 1.95 | Aristides_Aquino_CIN | RF | 176 |
| -141- | -1.83 | Tucker_Barnhart_CIN | CR | 331 |
| XXXXX | -0.94 | Phillip_Ervin_CIN | LF-CF-RF | 218 |
| XXXXX | -0.32 | Brian_O’Grady_CIN | BAT | 32 |
| -080- | -2.42 | Jose_Peraza_CIN | 2B-SS-LF | 361 |
| XXXXX | 0.00 | Sonny_Gray_CIN | none | 0 |
| Total | -3.14 | TIER=-1.38 |
This is quite a mixed bag of a lineup. A tier number of -1.38 means this lineup is more than 1/2 standard deviation below league average. This concurs with BAT in their team status.
Not much more to say about this other than Cubs need each and every game from now until the end of the season in order to maintain pace with SLN and other NL teams fighting for wild card spots. Historical playoff season series coming next as well as the final regular season Cubs status. Until then ….