Cubs Cardinals Matchup

Cubs Cardinals start a weekend series tonight at Wrigley.  Let’s see what SLN has been up to these last two weeks.

SLN Team Status

Tm W L BAT PITCH UR
SLN 78 61 -39.1 94.8 8.1 20190905
SLN 85 67 -33.5 114.7 10.4 20190919

They went from +17 to +18 gaining a game.  PITCH improving and now near top of MLB.  BAT and UR also up a little.

SLN CHN 09_19_7:15_PM

WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
SLN 18 0.512 0.523 102 -0.67 3.52 3.08
CHN 12 0.512 0.477 93 0.90 2.69 2.47

Cubs have a better lineup.  Cardinals exceed in real team WAA , Starter, and Relief.  Vegas is don’t know flip a coin.  TC Sim has this game around 50/50 too.

Starters WAA WinPct IP Tier
Jack_Flaherty_SLN 6.17 0.659 174.3 3.52
Kyle_Hendricks_CHN 4.91 0.633 165.7 2.69

Both starters very good.

SLN Starters

Rank WAA Name_TeamID IP
+018+ 6.13 Jack_Flaherty_SLN 174.3
+046+ 4.68 Dakota_Hudson_SLN 166.7
+120+ 2.75 Adam_Wainwright_SLN 162.3
XXXXX 1.09 Miles_Mikolas_SLN 176.3
XXXXX -0.59 Michael_Wacha_SLN 121.0
Total 14.06 0.579

This is an excellent starting rotation that could propel them through NLDS if they get there.

SLN Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID IP
+059+ 3.95 Giovanny_Gallegos_SLN 68.7
+144+ 2.29 John_Brebbia_SLN 69.0
XXXXX 1.68 Ryan_Helsley_SLN 31.7
XXXXX 1.66 Carlos_Martinez_SLN 43.3
XXXXX 1.36 John_Gant_SLN 64.3
XXXXX 0.65 Daniel_Ponce_de_Leon_SLN 45.7
XXXXX 0.65 Andrew_Miller_SLN 49.7
XXXXX 0.38 Tyler_Webb_SLN 49.0
XXXXX 0.29 Junior_Fernandez_SLN 8.7
XXXXX -0.21 Genesis_Cabrera_SLN 17.7
XXXXX -0.92 Dominic_Leone_SLN 36.7
XXXXX -1.18 Mike_Mayers_SLN 16.7
Total 10.60 TIER=3.08

Tiering is done on top 8 and this relief staff, at Tier +3.08,  is around 1.5 standard deviations above league average.

SLN Lineup 09182019

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX -0.59 Dexter_Fowler_SLN RF-CF 522
-146- -1.74 Kolten_Wong_SLN 2B 542
+193+ 1.91 Paul_Goldschmidt_SLN 1B 630
+065+ 3.82 Marcell_Ozuna_SLN LF 498
-145- -1.81 Matt_Carpenter_SLN 3B 449
XXXXX -1.24 Yadier_Molina_SLN CR 404
XXXXX 1.01 Paul_DeJong_SLN SS 620
XXXXX 0.17 Tommy_Edman_SLN 3B-2B-RF 295
XXXXX 0.00 Adam_Wainwright_SLN none 0
Total 1.53 TIER=-0.67

Lineup value for both teams taken from yesterday.  This is a below average lineup based on current rosters and reflects their below average BAT in team status.

Last regular season Cubs status coming tomorrow.  Until then ….