We covered rosters and lineups for all teams in these two NLDS Game 5s today so let’s just look at the game tables for today.
WAS LAN 10_09_8:37_PM
Vegas has Dodgers favored a little more than TC Sim. ELO has LAN 59% favorites, exactly what TC Sim calculated. If home field advantage was incorporated TC Sim would move towards the 63% what Vegas predicts.
Starters around equal although WAR ranks Strasburg #15 and Buehler #187.
SLN ATL 10_09_5:02_PM
Vegas is at a don’t know flip a coin for this game. TC Sim agrees. According to where Vegas data comes from that line started out around 3-1 in favor of ATL and moved to even steven. That could be an error in Vegas data source however. Errors are not exclusive to this log book.
This model has Flaherty ranked #7 in MLB, WAR has him #21. Both models have Foltynewicz unranked so SLN has a very large advantage in pitching which makes up for their large disadvantage in hitting.
That’s all for now. Unbelievably Houston has to play a game 5 tomorrow. With a rotation consisting of 3 starters in top ten and a top of MLB lineup proves that no one can predict the future — unless you’re from the future. Houston handicapping tomorrow and then we’re on to ALCS and NLCS. Until then ….