We covered rosters and lineups for all teams in these two NLDS Game 5s today so let’s just look at the game tables for today.
WAS LAN 10_09_8:37_PM
Vegas has Dodgers favored a little more than TC Sim. ELO has LAN 59% favorites, exactly what TC Sim calculated. If home field advantage was incorporated TC Sim would move towards the 63% what Vegas predicts.
Starters around equal although WAR ranks Strasburg #15 and Buehler #187.
SLN ATL 10_09_5:02_PM
Vegas is at a don’t know flip a coin for this game. TC Sim agrees. According to where Vegas data comes from that line started out around 3-1 in favor of ATL and moved to even steven. That could be an error in Vegas data source however. Errors are not exclusive to this log book. 🙂
This model has Flaherty ranked #7 in MLB, WAR has him #21. Both models have Foltynewicz unranked so SLN has a very large advantage in pitching which makes up for their large disadvantage in hitting.
That’s all for now. Unbelievably Houston has to play a game 5 tomorrow. With a rotation consisting of 3 starters in top ten and a top of MLB lineup proves that no one can predict the future — unless you’re from the future. Houston handicapping tomorrow and then we’re on to ALCS and NLCS. Until then ….