ALCS Game 3

ALCS Game 3 today.  Let’s look at the Handicapping for this game.

HOU NYA 10_15_4:08_PM

WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
HOU 52 0.600 0.563 X 4.00 4.00 3.28
NYA 44 0.417 0.437 X 4.00 -0.05 3.18

Main difference in this game is HOU with a maxed out 4.00 Starter and Yankkes have an average starter.  Yankees also have home field advantage which is more of a factor in post season.

Starters WAA WinPct IP Tier
Gerrit_Cole_HOU 9.64 0.704 212.3 4.00
Luis_Severino_NYA 0.84 0.815 12.0 -0.05

Neither starter has much post season experience to mention.

HOU Lineup Today

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA
+023+ 6.17 George_Springer_HOU CF-RF-DH 556
+089+ 3.34 Jose_Altuve_HOU 2B 548
+124+ 2.67 Michael_Brantley_HOU LF-DH 637
+011+ 7.22 Alex_Bregman_HOU 3B-SS 690
+052+ 4.45 Yuli_Gurriel_HOU 1B-3B 612
+042+ 5.00 Yordan_Alvarez_HOU DH-LF 369
+137+ 2.54 Carlos_Correa_HOU SS 321
-137- -1.97 Josh_Reddick_HOU RF-LF 550
-133- -2.08 Martin_Maldonado_HOU CR 374
Total 27.34 TIER=4.00

Martin Maldonado was on the Cubs for a couple weeks this year.

NYA Lineup Today

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA
+035+ 5.29 DJ_LeMahieu_NYA 2B-3B-1B 655
+172+ 2.14 Aaron_Judge_NYA RF-DH 447
+126+ 2.65 Brett_Gardner_NYA CF-LF 550
+043+ 4.96 Edwin_Encarnacion_NYA 1B-DH 486
+062+ 3.97 Gleyber_Torres_NYA SS-2B 604
+142+ 2.48 Didi_Gregorius_NYA SS 344
+104+ 3.11 Gary_Sanchez_NYA CR-DH 446
+099+ 3.17 Gio_Urshela_NYA 3B 476
XXXXX 1.51 Aaron_Hicks_NYA CF 255
Total 29.28 TIER=4.00

Both these lineups are simply incredible.  One of these lineups won’t be in the World Series this year.

NLCS Game 4 next..