NLCS Game 4 tonight. Let’s look at Handicapping for this game.
SLN WAS 10_15_8:05_PM
TC Sim has this game less favored for WAS than Vegas. At 0-3 it’s pretty much over for the Cardinals. Winning the next 4 games is around a 4% chance given they’re usually an underdog based on roster value and in Vegas. The easiest path for a team in this situation is get it over with quickly and go home. Situations like this are difficult if not impossible to model mathematically. ELO has WAS at 63%.
These two starters are fairly equal in capability.
Update 10/16: Since we’re from the future we know Patrick Corbin gives up 4 runs over 5 innings pitched in this game. He gave up 6 runs in relief earlier which means the start of his post season career isn’t going well. If Corbin is a dud in the playoff that will hurt Washington’s chances in World Series because they’ll need 4 starters.
Here are published lineups for tonight.
SLN Lineup Today
WAS Lineup Today
This is a very good lineup but will be over 1 tier below either what Yankees or Astros can produce.
NLCS is over if WAS wins tonight. Historical post season coming soon. Until then ….