World Series game 3 tonight. Houston is on the ropes. Three games in Washington and they must win 2 to regain home field advantage.
HOU WAS 10_25_8:07_PM
| WAA | Vegas | TC Sim | EV | L | S | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 52 | 0.580 | 0.609 | 105 | 4.00 | 3.82 | 3.32 |
| WAS | 24 | 0.439 | 0.391 | 89 | 3.98 | 1.01 | 0.32 |
TC Sim has Houston favored a little more than Vegas. ELO has Washington favored at 53% so this would definitely be a WAS line betting opportunity in that system. There are caveats.
| Starters | WAA | WinPct | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack_Greinke_TOT | 7.35 | 0.658 | 208.7 | 3.82 |
| Anibal_Sanchez_WAS | 2.60 | 0.571 | 166.0 | 1.01 |
Regular season Zack Greinke was much better than regular season Anibal Sanchez this season.
Post Season
| Rank | WAA | IP | ERA | Gs | Gr | Name_TeamID | Pos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -081- | -1.47 | 75.7 | 4.40 | 13 | 3 | Zack_Greinke_TOT | PITCH | |
| XXXXX | 0.46 | 43.3 | 3.12 | 7 | 3 | Anibal_Sanchez_TOT | PITCH |
Post season Zack Greinke much worse. The above does not include 2019 numbers. Greinke is currently racing Clayton Kershaw to the bottom of post season player rankings.
TC Sim does not incorporate post season numbers and right now don’t know if that can even be possible. Most players come into post season with very little to no post season experience. The above switches the S column from HOU >> WAS to WAS >> HOU. This game wouldn’t be a betting opportunity for TC Sim regardless which S set of numbers it draws from.
This post will be updated when lineups become available. Pitchers must BAT in Washington. TC Sim above was calculated using lineups from Game 2.
HOU Lineup Today
no lineup for HOU
WAS Lineup Today
no lineup for WAS