World Series Game 4

World Series game 4 starts in a few hours.  Let’s have a look see into this game.

HOU WAS 10_26_8:07_PM

WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
HOU 52 0.512 0.575 X 4.00 -0.24 3.32
WAS 24 0.512 0.425 X 2.74 3.00 0.32

Vegas is a don’t know for this game.  TC Sim has Houston favored at 57% , ELO has WAS favored at 59%.   There is much disagreement about this game today.   Washington has a much better starter pitching tonight, HOU has a better lineup and relief.

Starters WAA WinPct IP Tier
Jose_Urquidy_HOU 0.48 0.553 41.0 -0.24
Patrick_Corbin_WAS 5.96 0.633 202.0 3.00

Houston is going with a new guy starting who is listed as a reliever.  He was supposed to start Game 6 of ALCS and was replaced by Brad Peacock last minute.  This will probably be a reliever smorgasbord for HOU tonight which is a side effect of carrying only three starters.

HOU Lineup Today

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA
+023+ 6.17 George_Springer_HOU CF-RF-DH 556
+089+ 3.34 Jose_Altuve_HOU 2B 548
+124+ 2.67 Michael_Brantley_HOU LF-DH 637
+011+ 7.22 Alex_Bregman_HOU 3B-SS 690
+052+ 4.45 Yuli_Gurriel_HOU 1B-3B 612
+137+ 2.54 Carlos_Correa_HOU SS 321
XXXXX 1.09 Robinson_Chirinos_HOU CR 437
XXXXX 0.40 Jake_Marisnick_HOU CF 318
XXXXX 0.00 Jose_Urquidy_HOU none 0
Total 27.88 TIER=4.00

Houston still has a maxed out Tier 4.00 even without DH.  Pitcher hitting records are zeroed out in lineup calculations which will be explained more in off season.

WAS Lineup Today

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX 1.47 Trea_Turner_WAS SS 569
XXXXX -0.86 Adam_Eaton_WAS RF 656
+005+ 8.95 Anthony_Rendon_WAS 3B 646
+020+ 6.19 Juan_Soto_WAS LF 659
+085+ 3.42 Howie_Kendrick_WAS 1B-2B-3B 370
XXXXX 0.06 Ryan_Zimmerman_WAS 1B 190
XXXXX 0.02 Victor_Robles_WAS CF-RF 617
XXXXX -0.88 Yan_Gomes_WAS CR 358
XXXXX 0.00 Patrick_Corbin_WAS none 0
Total 18.37 TIER=2.74

Washington dropped a complete tier from their DH lineup in Houston.