1919 World Series Part 8

White Sox are down 4-2 in a best of 9 series with Reds and today is Game 7 of the 1919 World Series.  The Sox could win this game to pad stats or simply get this entire ordeal over with, go home, and relax until next Spring.  If it were me I’d prefer the latter.  Today Eddie Cicotte, in on the fix,  starts.  He is one of the best players of 1919 ranked #4 with Babe Ruth and Walter Johnson #1 and #2.  Since Cicotte already lost 2 games this series would it be proper for him to lose a third?  Let’s see.

CHA CIN 191910080

WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
CHA 36 x X X 3.75 4.70 -2.34
CIN 52 x X X 0.66 2.51 1.93

The above is a standard handicapping table used for regular season in modern baseball.  Since we don’t know the Vegas line  (Vegas didn’t exist back then) and TC Sim for this era of baseball is a work in progress we can’t calculate Expected Value (EV) — all explained during the 2019  season.

The Lineup (L), Starter (S) starter columns show CHA clear favorites for this game.  Guessing I would say  CHA would be favored greater than 60%.  Relief (R) column is irrelevant in this era of baseball.  Having only L and S columns to worry about greatly simplifies handicapping.  That’s fodder for future off season posts however.

So far, except for Game 6, White Sox would have been heavily favored in each game due to a massive Tier 4 lineup, a top top tier ace of a pitcher, and a pretty decent ranked second pitcher both of whom will pitch 6 of 8 games in this World Series.  Both top pitchers in the CHA rotation were in on the fix and their third starter, who won both games for CHA this series, wasn’t very good.

Starters WAA WinPct IP Tier
Eddie_Cicotte_CHA 8.76 0.629 306.7 4.70
Slim_Sallee_CIN 5.14 0.602 227.7 2.51

Slim Sallee is a top notch pitcher who is at Tier 2.51 based upon where he stands among all active MLB starters on end of August rosters.  Although very good he is still below the Tier 4 CHA lineup  he must face.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score
CHA 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 4
CIN 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

The White Sox score first and early knowing Cincinnati has a weak lineup that probably would never catch up — especially with Cicotte on the mount.  This would indicate it was agreed upon  before hand this would be another pad your stats game.

CHA Lineup

Rank WAA Name_TeamID PA R RBI TB H W Pos
XXXXX 0.06 1 Shano_Collins_CHA 5 2 0 4 3 0 OF-RF
+017+ 5.17 2 Eddie_Collins_CHA 5 1 0 2 2 0 2B
+020+ 5.00 3 Buck_Weaver_CHA 4 1 0 0 0 0 3B-SS
+010+ 6.57 4 Shoeless_Joe_Jackson_CHA 4 0 2 2 2 0 OF-LF-RF
+021+ 4.98 5 Happy_Felsch_CHA 4 0 2 1 1 0 CF-OF
+053+ 2.65 6 Chick_Gandil_CHA 4 0 0 0 0 0 1B
XXXXX -0.08 7 Swede_Risberg_CHA 4 0 0 0 0 0 SS-1B
XXXXX 0.42 8 Ray_Schalk_CHA 4 0 0 1 1 0 CR
XXXXX -1.01 9 Eddie_Cicotte_CHA 4 0 0 0 0 0 PITCH
TOTAL 23.76 X TIER=3.75 38 4 4 12 9 0 X

Shoeless Joe, in on the fix, drives in a run with a single in the first and third inning setting the tone for the rest of the day.  Happy Felsch, in on the fix, drives in the other two in the fourth.  Both those runs were unearned to Slim Sallee, the Reds pitcher.

CHA Pitchers

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Outs PA ER R SO
+004+ 8.76 Eddie_Cicotte_CHA 27 37 1 1 4 SP
TOTAL X X 27 37 1 1 4

Cicotte gives up only 1 earned run in a 9 inning complete game with no walks, a stellar performance and what one would expect from the #4 ranked player (both batters and pitchers) in MLB.  Eddie Collins, not in on the fix, committed the only White Sox error in this game and no runs scored because of it.

CIN Lineup

Rank WAA Name_TeamID PA R RBI TB H W Pos
-079- -1.51 1 Morrie_Rath_CIN 5 0 0 1 1 0 2B
XXXXX 0.50 2 Jake_Daubert_CIN 4 0 0 0 0 0 1B
+024+ 4.26 3 Heinie_Groh_CIN 4 1 0 2 1 0 3B
+033+ 3.53 4 Edd_Roush_CIN 4 0 0 0 0 0 CF-OF
XXXXX 0.63 5 Pat_Duncan_CIN 4 0 1 1 1 0 LF-OF
XXXXX 0.40 6 Larry_Kopf_CIN 4 0 0 1 1 0 SS
XXXXX -0.15 7 Greasy_Neale_CIN 4 0 0 1 1 0 OF-RF-LF
XXXXX 0.50 8 Ivey_Wingo_CIN 4 0 0 1 1 3 CR
XXXXX -0.53 9 Slim_Sallee_CIN 1 0 0 0 0 0 PITCH
XXXXX -0.55 10 Dutch_Ruether_CIN 1 0 0 0 0 0 PITCH
XXXXX -0.23 11 Dolf_Luque_CIN 1 0 0 0 0 0 PITCH
XXXXX -0.69 12 Sherry_Magee_CIN 1 0 0 1 1 0 OF-LF
TOTAL 7.63 X TIER=0.66 37 1 1 8 7 3 X

This is a pretty weak lineup by World Series standards which made it difficult for White Sox to lose.  Morrie Rath was tagged for the two unearned runs CHA scored in the 5th.  Those were the only unearned runs in this game.

CIN Pitchers

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Outs PA ER R SO
+018+ 5.14 Slim_Sallee_CIN 13 23 2 4 0 SP
+034+ 3.49 Ray_Fisher_CIN 2 2 0 0 1 RP
XXXXX 0.97 Dolf_Luque_CIN 12 13 0 0 5 RP
TOTAL X X 27 38 2 4 6

Slim Sallee gets pulled after 4 1/3 innings pitched giving up 2 earned runs and 2 unearned runs.  Ray Fisher comes in from their starting rotation to put out a fire and then Dolf Luque comes in to pitch the last 4 innings.  Luque throws 5 strikeouts in those 4 innings which is high for this series and high for this era of baseball.  His career takes off next season in 1920.

At 4-3 this series has now turned into a best of three with CHA needing to win the next two in a row.  Game 8 is a definite must lose game for CHA.  I can imagine the gamblers behind the fix are getting a little nervous after this game and going to a game 9 would probably be completely unacceptable.

Not sure what the consequences would have been had the White Sox accidentally won this series.  Since we’re from the future we know they lose Game 8 and the series.  Tomorrow we’ll cover this final game and then do a series Epilogue after that.  Until then ….