MLB Rejects MLBPA Proposal; No Counter-Offer Planned

Owners contend that ommissioner Rob Manfred can seek to unilaterally impose a shortened season if the union won’t budge from its prorated salary demands, and it appears that’s where they’re leaning, per the New York Post’s Joel Sherman. Either a 48- to 54-game season with fully prorated salaries or an 82-game season at less than prorated salaries are under consideration.

Source: MLB Rejects MLBPA Proposal; No Counter-Offer Planned – MLB Trade Rumors

A 54 game season is essentially 2 months of baseball.  The below teams highlighted in red and blue would be playoff eligible at the end of 2 months of play last season.

MLB 20190531

Tm W L BAT PITCH UR  
MIN 38 18 64.1 35.7 5.4
LAN 39 19 48.0 42.7 -4.6
NYA 37 19 28.6 41.7 2.4
HOU 38 20 32.5 53.7 8.4
TBA 35 20 -8.5 88.7 4.4
PHI 33 24 17.0 9.7 3.4
CHN 31 24 21.0 31.7 -3.6
MIL 32 26 24.5 -10.3 3.4
SDN 30 27 -38.5 23.7 1.4
ATL 30 27 7.6 0.7 -7.6
COL 29 27 40.5 -42.3 9.4
OAK 30 28 17.6 3.7 8.4
TEX 28 27 44.1 -25.3 -0.6
BOS 29 28 33.5 -4.3 -2.6
SLN 28 28 4.5 5.7 2.4
PIT 28 28 -31.9 -24.3 -5.6
NYN 28 29 -1.8 -10.3 -0.6
CLE 28 29 -43.4 25.7 -4.6
CHA 28 29 -19.5 -21.3 -1.6
ARI 28 30 32.5 -0.3 5.4
CIN 27 30 -7.5 40.7 10.4
ANA 27 30 12.0 -31.3 11.4
WAS 24 33 1.0 -26.3 -1.6
SEA 25 35 38.5 -59.3 -34.6
DET 22 33 -73.5 -11.3 -5.6
SFN 22 34 -56.0 -18.3 -11.6
TOR 21 36 -48.4 -5.3 -4.6
MIA 19 36 -92.0 2.7 7.4
KCA 19 38 -11.5 -41.3 9.4
BAL 18 39 -35.4 -71.3 -4.6

Good news for Cubs, bad news the Nationals and Cardinals.  With so few games the field will be tight which may result in many 3 way or more ties.  A baseball season is a 6 month marathon that consumes summer with a fall finale.  A two month season is like running 9 miles and calling that a marathon.  Washington had a real team WAA of -9 at the end of two months of play  which wasn’t good.  They had plenty of time to recover adding +6 WAA each of the next 4 months; gaining momentum that propelled them through playoff season.  Gaining +6 for a full 6 months puts a team at 99 wins at the end of a season.

After only 54 games this model may be some use in handicapping playoffs but only as a guide.