Cubs started this series on 6/14/1984 and lost 11-2, the day they acquired Rick Sutcliff in a 7 player deal. Let’s look at these two teams on this day in 1984.
Cubs, Phillies, and Mets bunched together at the top of NL East. Cubs had great hitting according to BAT run differential and very mediocre pitching according to PITCH. Phillies, who Cubs play in this weekend series had balanced BAT and PITCH. The end of 6/14/1984 standings is beginning of day for 6/15/1984. This Cubs/Phillies series stretched from Thursday to Sunday with 6/15 being a Friday.
Below is the handicapping table for this game. We don’t know what the Vegas lines were back then so that can’t be displayed nor can Expected Value of a 100 bet (EV) be calculated.
Cubs favored at 56.5% for this game. They have an almost maxed out Tier 4 lineup going against a very poor Phillies starter.
Rainey at almost Tier 0 and WAA 0 is very mediocre but much better than Charles Hudson who ranks 17th in the bottom 200 on this day in 1984. The Rest column is new and shows how many days rest each pitcher has had.
The Phillies take game 2 of this series 5-2. Rainey gets tagged for 5 runs early and Cubs great lineup can’t score against the Phillies below average starter and mediocre relief. These things happen in baseball.
Let’s look at lineups and starters in more detail for today’s game.
PHI Lineup 198406150
This is an above average lineup with a total WAA of 4.83 which translates into a tier of 1.34. Every 2 tier numbers is one complete standard deviation above current league average.
CHN Lineup 198406150
Cubs have a top of MLB lineup with 5 players in top 100 at this point in the season.
PHI START Roster 19840615
These are all the starters on PHI roster on this day in 1984. Carlton pitched yesterday and got the win.
CHN START Roster 19840615
Above is the starting rotation for the Cubs. Since Cubs just acquired Rick Sutcliffe he hasn’t shown up on our roster radar yet. Dennis Eckersley came over from Boston after a pretty bad start to the 1984 season. Since we’re from the future we know he turns his and Cubs fortunes around.