Cubs Phillies Matchup 6/15/1984

Cubs started this series on 6/14/1984 and lost 11-2, the day they acquired Rick Sutcliff in a 7 player deal. Let’s look at these two teams on this day in 1984.

NL_East 19840614

Tm W L BAT PITCH UR  
CHN 34 26 45.8 -0.8 5.7
NYN 32 25 -59.7 29.2 -0.3
PHI 33 27 26.3 30.2 -21.3
SLN 32 32 -18.2 5.2 12.7
WAS 29 33 -17.2 17.2 -0.3
PIT 24 35 -53.2 42.2 8.7

Cubs, Phillies, and Mets bunched together at the top of NL East.  Cubs had great hitting according to BAT run differential and very mediocre pitching according to PITCH.  Phillies, who Cubs play in this weekend series had balanced BAT and PITCH.  The end of 6/14/1984 standings is beginning of day for 6/15/1984.  This Cubs/Phillies series stretched from Thursday to Sunday with 6/15 being a Friday.

Below is the handicapping table for this game.  We don’t know what the Vegas lines were back then so that can’t be displayed nor can Expected Value of a 100 bet (EV) be calculated.  

  WAA Vegas TC Sim EV Lineup Starter Relief
PHI 6 X 0.435 X 1.34 -2.56 0.45  
CHN 8 X 0.565 X 3.89 -0.30 -1.38  

Cubs favored at 56.5% for this game.  They have an almost maxed out Tier 4 lineup going against a very poor Phillies starter.  

Starters

Rank WAA IP Name TeamId Rest Tier
-017- -2.29 72.3 Charles_Hudson PHI 5 -2.56
XXXXX -0.27 67.3 Chuck_Rainey CHN 5 -0.30

Rainey at almost Tier 0 and WAA 0 is very mediocre but much better than Charles Hudson who ranks 17th in the bottom 200 on this day in 1984.  The Rest column is new and shows how many days rest each pitcher has had.

Line Scores

TeamID Linescore R TB H E
PHI 100400000 5 16 7 1
CHN 011000000 2 8 4 1

The Phillies take game 2 of this series 5-2.  Rainey gets tagged for 5 runs early and Cubs great lineup can’t score against the Phillies below average starter and mediocre relief.  These things happen in baseball.  

Let’s look at lineups and starters in more detail for today’s game.

PHI Lineup 198406150

Rank WAA Name TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX 1.18 Juan_Samuel PHI 2B 280
XXXXX 0.15 Garry_Maddox PHI CF 110
XXXXX 0.8 Von_Hayes PHI CF 184
+019+ 2.77 Mike_Schmidt PHI 1B 251
XXXXX -0.32 Joe_Lefebvre PHI LF 173
XXXXX 0.9 Tim_Corcoran PHI RF 39
XXXXX 0.38 John_Wockenfuss PHI CR 81
XXXXX -1.05 Ivan_DeJesus PHI SS 211
XXXXX 0.02 Charles_Hudson PHI PR 27
TOTAL 4.83

This is an above average lineup with a total WAA of 4.83 which translates into a tier of 1.34.  Every 2 tier numbers is one complete standard deviation above current league average.

CHN Lineup 198406150

Rank WAA Name TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX 0.34 Bob_Dernier CHN CF 222
+075+ 1.57 Ryne_Sandberg CHN 2B 275
+039+ 2.27 Gary_Matthews CHN LF 234
+005+ 3.86 Leon_Durham CHN 1B 238
XXXXX -0.65 Keith_Moreland CHN RF 129
+067+ 1.76 Ron_Cey CHN 3B 219
+017+ 2.81 Jody_Davis CHN CR 224
-067- -1.32 Larry_Bowa CHN SS 178
XXXXX -0.17 Chuck_Rainey CHN PR 27
TOTAL 10.47

Cubs have a top of MLB lineup with 5 players in top 100 at this point in the season.

PHI START Roster 19840615

Rank WAA Name Pos Rest
-017- -2.29 Charles_Hudson START 0
+038+ 2.27 Steve_Carlton START 1
+077+ 1.51 Jerry_Koosman START 2
+070+ 1.72 Kevin_Gross START 3
XXXXX -1.16 Marty_Bystrom START 4
TOTAL 2.05

These are all the starters on PHI roster on this day in 1984.  Carlton pitched yesterday and got the win.

CHN START Roster 19840615

Rank WAA Name Pos Rest
XXXXX -0.27 Chuck_Rainey START 0
XXXXX 0.59 Rich_Bordi START 1
+015+ 2.96 Steve_Trout START 2
-050- -1.62 Dennis_Eckersley START 3
-076- -1.26 Rick_Reuschel START 4
TOTAL 0.40

Above is the starting rotation for the Cubs.  Since Cubs just acquired Rick Sutcliffe he hasn’t shown up on our roster radar yet.  Dennis Eckersley came over from Boston after a pretty bad start to the 1984 season.  Since we’re from the future we know he turns his and Cubs fortunes around.