Cubs Pirates Matchup 6/25/1984

Cubs start a home series with the Pirates today after sweeping the Cardinals in a three game weekend series.  Let’s look at this matchup.

Update from present time:  It looks like baseball will play a 60 game/2 month season.  More on this later.

First let’s look at the standings in the NL East.

NL_East 19840624

Tm W L BAT PITCH UR
NYN 37 29 -60.6 41.7 -4.4
PHI 39 31 44.9 14.7 -22.4
CHN 38 31 54.9 -12.3 4.6
WAS 35 35 -34.1 38.7 1.6
SLN 34 38 -31.1 -1.3 14.6
PIT 28 41 -46.6 41.7 8.6

Pittsburgh still in the basement of NL East even though they have pretty decent pitching based upon PITCH in team status.  Cubs are bunched with Phillies and Mets at the top of this division.  Cubs have great hitting based on BAT but somewhat below average pitching.

WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
PIT -13 X 0.343 X -2.81 1.49 0.45
CHN 7 X 0.657 X 1.64 -0.52 -0.54

Cubs are heavy favorites in this at almost 66% or 2/3.  At Tier 1.64 Cubs are fielding a much weaker lineup than we saw last series with the Cardinals.  PIT has a better starter and better relief but a very weak lineup which would concur with negative BAT in team status above.

Starters

Rank WAA IP Name TeamId Rest Tier
+111+ 1.32 73.0 Jose_DeLeon PIT 5 1.49
XXXXX -0.55 75.7 Chuck_Rainey CHN 5 -0.52

Pirates have a better starter pitching today.  Starters face lineups however in simulation.  Let’s see what happens.

Line Scores

TeamID Linescore R TB H E
PIT 011001000 3 16 7 1
CHN 000000000 0 4 4 0

Cubs weaker lineup couldn’t score a single run and Pittsburgh wins. Here are the lineups for today.

PIT Lineup 198406250

Rank WAA Name TeamID Pos PA
-061- -1.74 Marvell_Wynne PIT CF 315
XXXXX -0.46 Johnny_Ray PIT 2B 269
-072- -1.49 Bill_Madlock PIT 3B 282
XXXXX -0.15 Jason_Thompson PIT 1B 256
XXXXX -0.02 Tony_Pena PIT CR 255
XXXXX -0.59 Lee_Mazzilli PIT LF 139
+086+ 1.62 Leon_Lacy PIT RF 175
XXXXX -1.2 Dale_Berra PIT SS 242
XXXXX -0.48 Jose_DeLeon PIT PR 25
TOTAL -4.51

CHN Lineup 198406250

Rank WAA Name TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX 0.94 Bob_Dernier CHN CF 263
+028+ 2.81 Ryne_Sandberg CHN 2B 316
+040+ 2.42 Gary_Matthews CHN LF 273
XXXXX 0.1 Keith_Moreland CHN RF 169
XXXXX 0.55 Richie_Hebner CHN 1B 70
XXXXX -0.15 Jay_Johnstone CHN LF 25
XXXXX -0.61 Ron_Hassey CHN 1B 173
XXXXX 0.02 Dave_Owen CHN 3B 32
XXXXX -0.23 Chuck_Rainey CHN PR 29
TOTAL 5.85

Main guy missing from Cubs lineup today is Leon Durham.  Sandberg went from being ranked #59 at the start of the last series with St. Louis to being  ranked #28 at the start of today.  That Cardinals series was infamous for Ryne Sandberg  propelling him into the national spotlight.

A lineup however consists of 9 players and the above shows why Cubs were considered tier 1.64 instead of their usual close to tier 4.  A tier of 4 is two standard deviations above league average for that day.

Next we’ll look at the set of starters for each tema for this series.

PIT START Roster 19840625

Rank WAA Name TeamID IP Rest
+111+ 1.32 Jose_DeLeon START 73.0 0
+112+ 1.32 John_Tudor START 101.0 1
+100+ 1.45 John_Candelaria START 74.0 2
XXXXX -1.24 Lee_Tunnell START 34.0 3
+023+ 2.98 Larry_McWilliams START 92.0 3
TOTAL 5.83

This is a very good starting rotation which concurs with their very good PITCH in team status.

CHN START Roster 19840625

Rank WAA Name TeamID IP Rest
XXXXX -0.55 Chuck_Rainey START 75.0 0
-063- -1.70 Rick_Sutcliffe START 111.0 1
+083+ 1.64 Steve_Trout START 83.0 2
-017- -2.31 Rick_Reuschel START 60.0 3
-005- -2.75 Dennis_Eckersley START 103.0 4
TOTAL -5.67

Since we’re from the future we know starting pitching gets better for the Cubs.  Right now pitching has dragged down Cubs top tier hitting even though they couldn’t score a run in today’s game.  Tomorrow is another day.

Cubs status coming soon as well as our 1984 All Star Picks and how we’ll deal with this 60 game 2020 season.  Until then ….