Cubs Giants Matchup 7/5/1984

Cubs start a 3 game series with the Giants today.  Let’s see what these two teams have been up to.

Team Status

Tm W L BAT PITCH UR
CHN 45 35 54.0 -16.7 3.2
SFN 32 47 2.0 -33.7 -14.8

Giants have the second worst record in NL right now mostly due to pitching and unearned runs given up by fielding.

Tier Combos

WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
CHN 10 X 0.641 X 3.85 1.26 0.23
SFN -15 X 0.359 X -0.47 1.13 -0.49

Tier Combo simulation gives Cubs a 64% advantage today.  Their lineup is once again close to maxed out Tier 4.  Starters for both teams around equal.  Cubs relief (R column) is above water today close to almost completely average.  WAA column is simply team wins minus team losses.

Starters

Rank WAA IP Name TeamId Rest Tier
+122+ 1.36 53.0 Scott_Sanderson CHN 37 1.26
XXXXX 1.22 110.3 Bill_Laskey SFN 5 1.13

Sanderson starts today and he’s ranked with 37 days rest which means he was on DL for awhile.  His return will help Cubs pitching a lot.  Laskey is about equal with Sanderson in value but falls just below the 1.25 WAA cutoff for rank eligibility.  Let’s see what happens.

Line Scores

TeamID Linescore R TB H E
CHN 002205000 9 23 11 0
SFN 000002010 3 13 9 1

Cubs tag Laskey with 4 earned runs in 5 innings pitched and that’s all that was needed for the win today.  Sanderson let’s up 2 in 5 1/3 innings before relief takes over to finish off the Giants.

The baseball-handbook.com web site when it becomes active will allow for a simple click through to this complete box score.

CHN Lineup 198407050

Rank WAA Name TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX 1.09 Bob_Dernier CHN CF 314
+020+ 3.21 Ryne_Sandberg CHN 2B 365
+053+ 2.39 Gary_Matthews CHN LF 312
XXXXX 0.5 Keith_Moreland CHN RF 218
+024+ 3.04 Jody_Davis CHN CR 297
XXXXX -0.1 Thad_Bosley CHN RF 9
+063+ 2.06 Ron_Cey CHN 3B 280
XXXXX -0.23 Dave_Owen CHN 3B 43
XXXXX -0.13 Scott_Sanderson CHN PR 20
TOTAL 11.83

Leon Durham still missing yet the Cubs have an almost maxed out Tier 4 lineup today without him.  When Durham returns they’ll be even better.  Sandberg and Davis floating in the top 25 right now.

SFN Lineup 198407050

Rank WAA Name TeamID Pos PA
XXXXX 0.97 Dan_Gladden SFN CF 41
XXXXX -0.73 Johnnie_LeMaster SFN SS 294
XXXXX -0.71 Al_Oliver SFN 1B 293
+081+ 1.81 Jeff_Leonard SFN LF 302
XXXXX 0.13 Dusty_Baker SFN RF 111
XXXXX -0.08 Joel_Youngblood SFN RF 321
+135+ 1.26 Bob_Brenly SFN CR 252
XXXXX -0.55 Brad_Wellman SFN 2B 113
XXXXX -0.69 Bill_Laskey SFN PR 40
TOTAL 1.41

Hello future Cubs manager Dusty Baker and future Cubs announcer Bob Brenly.

This is a -0.47 Tier lineup even though it has positive total WAA.  As a season progresses league average lineups increase as teams retain their good players and replace their negative value players.

CHN START Roster 19840705

Rank WAA Name TeamID IP Rest
+122+ 1.36 Scott_Sanderson START 53.0 0
-070- -1.75 Rick_Sutcliffe START 123.0 1
+104+ 1.55 Steve_Trout START 95.0 2
-008- -2.83 Rick_Reuschel START 71.0 3
-006- -3.07 Dennis_Eckersley START 113.0 4
TOTAL -4.74

Cubs starting rotation just got a lot better with the return of Sanderson and since we’re from the future we know Sutcliffe and Eckersley are much better than their current stats show.   Reuschel will hover around average for the rest of this season finishing ranked #55 in the bottom 100.

Those not from the future wouldn’t know this.

SFN START Roster 19840705

Rank WAA Name TeamID IP Rest
XXXXX 1.22 Bill_Laskey START 110.0 0
-071- -1.74 Mark_Davis START 96.0 1
XXXXX -0.67 Jeff_Robinson START 96.0 1
-004- -3.49 Mike_Krukow START 86.0 2
XXXXX 0.78 Atlee_Hammaker START 11.0 4
TOTAL -3.90

This rotation concurs with their poor PITCH in team status.

Now for the first time this season we’ll cover relief as I finally got that code working.

CHN RELIEF Roster 19840705

Rank WAA Name TeamID Pos Rest
XXXXX 0.90 Rich_Bordi RELIEF 50.0 0
XXXXX -0.61 Lee_Smith RELIEF 49.0 1
+095+ 1.68 Tim_Stoddard RELIEF 51.0 2
XXXXX -0.38 George_Frazier RELIEF 62.0 3
XXXXX 0.55 Warren_Brusstar RELIEF 36.0 4
-092- -1.38 Dickie_Noles RELIEF 54.0 6
TOTAL 0.76

The Rest column shows how many days off each pitcher had which is also shown for starters.  There is an algorithm that estimates relief rosters and right now Cubs seem to be carrying only 6 relievers.

Current average relief staff is at +0.38 WAA so the Cubs are slightly above that.  In the next 35 years relief squad value will increase and most teams will carry 8 relievers who all work every other day.  More on this later.

SFN RELIEF Roster 19840705

Rank WAA Name TeamID IP Rest
XXXXX 0.69 Gary_Lavelle RELIEF 52.0 0
XXXXX 0.06 Frank_Williams RELIEF 57.0 0
XXXXX -0.19 Randy_Lerch RELIEF 45.0 0
XXXXX -0.13 Greg_Minton RELIEF 62.0 1
XXXXX -0.80 Jeff_Cornell RELIEF 24.0 1
TOTAL -0.37

And the Giants have a slightly below average relief squad, all 5 of whom have been busy the last two days.  The above looks abnormal so will  double check this for bugs and update if necessary.

That’s all for now.  All Star game approaching on July 10th and the final part of our 1984 All Star picks covering starters and relievers coming next.  Until then ….