Cubs Expos 8/9/1984

Cubs start yet another 4 game set with the Expos in Montreal after finishing a 4 game series with them 4 days ago at Wrigley Field  Schedulers haven’t been very creative this season.  Not much will have changed since we covered that series here except the Cubs are now solidly in first place after sweeping the Mets.

Note: The Expos have the WAS franchise tag because they move to Washington to become the Nationals and win a World Series one day.

NL East 19840808

Tm W L BAT PITCH UR  
CHN 68 45 74.7 -7.5 6.1
NYN 62 48 -42.7 31.5 -11.9
PHI 60 52 26.2 38.5 -29.9
SLN 56 57 -42.7 22.5 5.1
WAS 54 58 -67.3 49.5 12.1
PIT 49 65 -48.3 65.5 5.1

Cubs hitting way up since the beginning of Mets series which will show up in their lineup below.  Expos hitting is declining but pitching pretty good which we’ll also see below.

Tier Combo

  WAA Vegas TC Sim EV L S R
CHN 23 X 0.554 X 3.38 -1.91 -1.19  
WAS -4 X 0.446 X -0.64 1.96 -1.43  

TC Sim gives Cubs a 55% advantage today.  I would have expected it to be higher but Cubs Lineup is far less than their usual maxed out Tier 4.00 which means they’re probably resting players today.  Expos have a starter advantage today and both relief squads equally under water.

Starters

Rank WAA IP Name TeamId Rest Tier
-061- -2.06 154.0 Dennis_Eckersley CHN 5 -1.91
+077+ 2.39 81.0 Dan_Schatzeder WAS 5 1.96

We know from being in the future that Eckersley will have a great end to this season.  Those not from the future wouldn’t know this.  Vegas lines would tell us what people are thinking about both these teams right now but we don’t have that data.  Let’s see what happens.

Line Scores

TeamID Linescore R TB H E
CHN 000 000 000 0 0 4 4 2
WAS 000 000 000 1 1 7 6 2

Now this is a true pitching duel.  Eckersley pitches a complete 9 innings letting up no runs.   Schatzeder pitches 10 innings letting up no runs and actually gets a W that was truly earned.  Apparently Expos manager didn’t want to let their under water relief staff lose this one — and neither did Frey but he succumbed in the 10th.

CHN Lineup 198408090

Rank WAA Name Pos PA
XXXXX 0.92 Bob_Dernier CF 428
+012+ 4.41 Ryne_Sandberg 2B 512
+040+ 3.28 Gary_Matthews LF 435
+082+ 2.33 Keith_Moreland 1B 355
+042+ 3.25 Jody_Davis CR 422
XXXXX -0.42 Henry_Cotto RF 119
+039+ 3.34 Ron_Cey 3B 399
-023- -3.00 Larry_Bowa SS 311
XXXXX -0.55 Dennis_Eckersley PR 34
TOTAL 13.56

Leon Durham missing today but he did come in late to pinch hit.  Sandberg must have had a good series with the Mets because he’s almost in top ten of MLB, ranked #12, his highest ranking this season.

WAS Lineup 198408090

Rank WAA Name Pos PA
XXXXX 0.61 Tim_Raines CF 492
XXXXX -0.23 Max_Venable LF 15
+151+ 1.34 Andre_Dawson RF 397
+038+ 3.34 Gary_Carter CR 460
XXXXX -0.08 Dan_Driessen 1B 284
XXXXX 0.23 Tim_Wallach 3B 445
-021- -3.04 Doug_Flynn 2B 273
XXXXX -0.55 Mike_Ramsey SS 38
XXXXX -0.27 Dan_Schatzeder PR 21
TOTAL 1.35

This is a slightly below average lineup based on today’s league average for lineups.

CHN START Roster 19840809

Rank WAA Name IP Rest
-061- -2.06 Dennis_Eckersley 154.0 0
XXXXX 0.42 Steve_Trout 132.3 1
+155+ 1.32 Scott_Sanderson 85.0 2
-096- -1.58 Rick_Sutcliffe 174.3 2
-117- -1.43 Dick_Ruthven 84.7 3
TOTAL -3.33

Sanderson back.  Numbers above are from beginning of today which are what you would know in order to bet this game.  Eckersley will be much higher tomorrow which we’ll see in our next matchup post.4 days from now.

WAS START Roster 19840809

Rank WAA Name IP Rest
+077+ 2.39 Dan_Schatzeder 81.0 0
XXXXX 0.25 Bill_Gullickson 149.0 1
+076+ 2.42 Bryn_Smith 145.0 2
-009- -3.63 Steve_Rogers 105.3 2
+020+ 3.76 Charlie_Lea 171.7 3
TOTAL 5.19

Three decent starters.  If Expos had half way decent hitting and relief they would be in contention with this starting rotation.

CHN RELIEF Roster 19840809

Rank WAA Name IP Rest
XXXXX 0.02 George_Frazier 79.6 0
XXXXX 0.73 Lee_Smith 73.3 1
XXXXX -0.04 Warren_Brusstar 47.7 1
+143+ 1.43 Tim_Stoddard 71.7 1
-028- -2.79 Rick_Reuschel 81.0 4
TOTAL -0.65

Frazier gave up the only run in this game today.

WAS RELIEF Roster 19840809

Rank WAA Name IP Rest
+103+ 1.93 Jeff_Reardon 61.7 1
XXXXX -0.57 Bob_James 62.0 2
XXXXX 0.08 Joe_Hesketh 1.0 2
XXXXX -0.40 Rick_Grapenthin 5.0 2
+134+ 1.57 Gary_Lucas 48.3 3
-009- -3.63 Steve_Rogers 105.3 5
TOTAL -1.02

Expos have excellent PITCH based upon seasonal run differential but it isn’t because of their relief staff.

That’s all for now.  The 2020 data portal starting with a very rough draft prototype of game day handicapping service almost ready.  This will allow you to keep track of any game this season, in progress or in the past.  More on this later.  Until then ….