Cubs start yet another 4 game set with the Expos in Montreal after finishing a 4 game series with them 4 days ago at Wrigley Field Schedulers haven’t been very creative this season. Not much will have changed since we covered that series here except the Cubs are now solidly in first place after sweeping the Mets.
Note: The Expos have the WAS franchise tag because they move to Washington to become the Nationals and win a World Series one day.
NL East 19840808
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHN | 68 | 45 | 74.7 | -7.5 | 6.1 | |
| NYN | 62 | 48 | -42.7 | 31.5 | -11.9 | |
| PHI | 60 | 52 | 26.2 | 38.5 | -29.9 | |
| SLN | 56 | 57 | -42.7 | 22.5 | 5.1 | |
| WAS | 54 | 58 | -67.3 | 49.5 | 12.1 | |
| PIT | 49 | 65 | -48.3 | 65.5 | 5.1 |
Cubs hitting way up since the beginning of Mets series which will show up in their lineup below. Expos hitting is declining but pitching pretty good which we’ll also see below.
Tier Combo
| WAA | Vegas | TC Sim | EV | L | S | R | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHN | 23 | X | 0.554 | X | 3.38 | -1.91 | -1.19 | |
| WAS | -4 | X | 0.446 | X | -0.64 | 1.96 | -1.43 |
TC Sim gives Cubs a 55% advantage today. I would have expected it to be higher but Cubs Lineup is far less than their usual maxed out Tier 4.00 which means they’re probably resting players today. Expos have a starter advantage today and both relief squads equally under water.
Starters
| Rank | WAA | IP | Name | TeamId | Rest | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -061- | -2.06 | 154.0 | Dennis_Eckersley | CHN | 5 | -1.91 |
| +077+ | 2.39 | 81.0 | Dan_Schatzeder | WAS | 5 | 1.96 |
We know from being in the future that Eckersley will have a great end to this season. Those not from the future wouldn’t know this. Vegas lines would tell us what people are thinking about both these teams right now but we don’t have that data. Let’s see what happens.
Line Scores
| TeamID | Linescore | R | TB | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHN | 000 000 000 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| WAS | 000 000 000 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
Now this is a true pitching duel. Eckersley pitches a complete 9 innings letting up no runs. Schatzeder pitches 10 innings letting up no runs and actually gets a W that was truly earned. Apparently Expos manager didn’t want to let their under water relief staff lose this one — and neither did Frey but he succumbed in the 10th.
CHN Lineup 198408090
| Rank | WAA | Name | Pos | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXXXX | 0.92 | Bob_Dernier | CF | 428 |
| +012+ | 4.41 | Ryne_Sandberg | 2B | 512 |
| +040+ | 3.28 | Gary_Matthews | LF | 435 |
| +082+ | 2.33 | Keith_Moreland | 1B | 355 |
| +042+ | 3.25 | Jody_Davis | CR | 422 |
| XXXXX | -0.42 | Henry_Cotto | RF | 119 |
| +039+ | 3.34 | Ron_Cey | 3B | 399 |
| -023- | -3.00 | Larry_Bowa | SS | 311 |
| XXXXX | -0.55 | Dennis_Eckersley | PR | 34 |
| TOTAL | 13.56 |
Leon Durham missing today but he did come in late to pinch hit. Sandberg must have had a good series with the Mets because he’s almost in top ten of MLB, ranked #12, his highest ranking this season.
WAS Lineup 198408090
| Rank | WAA | Name | Pos | PA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXXXX | 0.61 | Tim_Raines | CF | 492 |
| XXXXX | -0.23 | Max_Venable | LF | 15 |
| +151+ | 1.34 | Andre_Dawson | RF | 397 |
| +038+ | 3.34 | Gary_Carter | CR | 460 |
| XXXXX | -0.08 | Dan_Driessen | 1B | 284 |
| XXXXX | 0.23 | Tim_Wallach | 3B | 445 |
| -021- | -3.04 | Doug_Flynn | 2B | 273 |
| XXXXX | -0.55 | Mike_Ramsey | SS | 38 |
| XXXXX | -0.27 | Dan_Schatzeder | PR | 21 |
| TOTAL | 1.35 |
This is a slightly below average lineup based on today’s league average for lineups.
CHN START Roster 19840809
| Rank | WAA | Name | IP | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -061- | -2.06 | Dennis_Eckersley | 154.0 | 0 |
| XXXXX | 0.42 | Steve_Trout | 132.3 | 1 |
| +155+ | 1.32 | Scott_Sanderson | 85.0 | 2 |
| -096- | -1.58 | Rick_Sutcliffe | 174.3 | 2 |
| -117- | -1.43 | Dick_Ruthven | 84.7 | 3 |
| TOTAL | -3.33 |
Sanderson back. Numbers above are from beginning of today which are what you would know in order to bet this game. Eckersley will be much higher tomorrow which we’ll see in our next matchup post.4 days from now.
WAS START Roster 19840809
| Rank | WAA | Name | IP | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +077+ | 2.39 | Dan_Schatzeder | 81.0 | 0 |
| XXXXX | 0.25 | Bill_Gullickson | 149.0 | 1 |
| +076+ | 2.42 | Bryn_Smith | 145.0 | 2 |
| -009- | -3.63 | Steve_Rogers | 105.3 | 2 |
| +020+ | 3.76 | Charlie_Lea | 171.7 | 3 |
| TOTAL | 5.19 |
Three decent starters. If Expos had half way decent hitting and relief they would be in contention with this starting rotation.
CHN RELIEF Roster 19840809
| Rank | WAA | Name | IP | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XXXXX | 0.02 | George_Frazier | 79.6 | 0 |
| XXXXX | 0.73 | Lee_Smith | 73.3 | 1 |
| XXXXX | -0.04 | Warren_Brusstar | 47.7 | 1 |
| +143+ | 1.43 | Tim_Stoddard | 71.7 | 1 |
| -028- | -2.79 | Rick_Reuschel | 81.0 | 4 |
| TOTAL | -0.65 |
Frazier gave up the only run in this game today.
WAS RELIEF Roster 19840809
| Rank | WAA | Name | IP | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +103+ | 1.93 | Jeff_Reardon | 61.7 | 1 |
| XXXXX | -0.57 | Bob_James | 62.0 | 2 |
| XXXXX | 0.08 | Joe_Hesketh | 1.0 | 2 |
| XXXXX | -0.40 | Rick_Grapenthin | 5.0 | 2 |
| +134+ | 1.57 | Gary_Lucas | 48.3 | 3 |
| -009- | -3.63 | Steve_Rogers | 105.3 | 5 |
| TOTAL | -1.02 |
Expos have excellent PITCH based upon seasonal run differential but it isn’t because of their relief staff.
That’s all for now. The 2020 data portal starting with a very rough draft prototype of game day handicapping service almost ready. This will allow you to keep track of any game this season, in progress or in the past. More on this later. Until then ….