Category Archives: Matchups

Cubs White Sox Matchup Part 2

This is the second set of games with the White Sox. Missed yesterday which was the opener and the Cubs lost.  Let’s take a look at the current White Sox team.

CHA Team Status

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-42.3 -84.1 633 789 61 92 -24.6 -7.9 CHA

Terrible hitting, worse pitching yet this team scored 10 runs yesterday.  Unearend Runs above average is the absolute worst in MLB.  Those are real games lost due to fielding errors.  The above represents a seasonal number and may not reflect the talent they have playing today.  Let’s hear from the people, which sometimes includes White Sox fans :-)

Ouija Board

DATE 09_22_7:10_PM CHN CHA

LINEAWAY CHN [ 0.677 ] < 0.667 > -200 $150
STARTAWAY 2.60(0.569) Jon_Lester_CHN TIER 2
--------------------------------------------
LINEHOME CHA [ 0.361 ] < 0.357 > +180 $280
STARTHOME -6.07(0.335) Lucas_Giolito_CHA TIER 5
——————————————–
DELTAWAA 56 WINPCT 0.711 CHN
--------------------------------------------
TIER COMBOS
CHN Lineup 1 ==> CHA Starter 5 / Relief 5 == 0.635 CHN 5.14 runs
CHA Lineup 5 ==> CHN Starter 2 / Relief 1 == 0.365 CHA 3.72 runs

EXPECTED VALUE
TeamID TC dWAA
CHN    95 107
CHA   102 81

Cubs a 2-1 favorite (0.667) today.  Lineup tiers are from yesterday where the Cubs fielded a Tier 1, WAA=+15.67 lineup, their best set of hitters.   The above Tier Combo simulation is almost the largest disparities in value possible between two teams giving the Cubs a 0.635 break even probability.

Based upon the difference in wins and losses (deltaWAA) the Cubs have a max 0.711 chance.  The relationship is unknown between deltaWAA, blind about current talent and who is playing, and TC simulations, blind about seasonal win/loss records.

The Expected Values shown for each category hover around 100 making each line a discard.

CHA Tier Data

Type Tier Name_Teamid WAA
Lineups 5 CHA -4.96
SP 5 Dylan_Covey_CHA -2.94
SP 5 Lucas_Giolito_CHA -6.11
SP 3 Reynaldo_Lopez_CHA 1.05
SP 2 Carlos_Rodon_CHA 2.65
SP 4 James_Shields_CHA -1.36
RP 5 CHA 2.06

White Sox have a terrible lineup, terrible relief, and 3 out of 5 starters terrible.  That didn’t stop them from scoring 10 runs yesterday however.  Their worst pitcher is pitching tonight.

CHA Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
XXXXX 1.34 Nate_Jones_CHA PITCH
XXXXX 0.69 Juan_Minaya_CHA PITCH
XXXXX 0.17 Rob_Scahill_CHA PITCH
XXXXX 0.02 Ryan_Burr_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.06 Ian_Hamilton_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.10 Jose_Ruiz_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.23 Jace_Fry_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.27 Jeanmar_Gomez_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.40 Aaron_Bummer_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.42 Hector_Santiago_CHA PITCH
XXXXX -0.44 Caleb_Frare_CHA PITCH
-149- -1.74 Thyago_Vieira_CHA PITCH
Total -1.44

This is a young team so most of above are hovering around 0, from which they start in the league at day 0.  The simulations only count the top seven.  League average relief is now +7.34/team and the Tier 4/5 boundary at +3.70/team.

CHA Lineup

WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA Sep_21_4:10_PM
0.25 Tim_Anderson_CHA SS 573
0.44 Jose_Rondon_CHA DH 89
0.90 Avisail_Garcia_CHA RF 345
0.27 Matt_Davidson_CHA DH-1B-3B 448
-0.92 Welington_Castillo_CHA CR 158
-0.50 Kevan_Smith_CHA CR 162
-1.36 Yoan_Moncada_CHA 2B 605
-1.01 Ryan_LaMarre_TOT CF-LF 167
-2.81 Adam_Engel_CHA CF 437
Total WAA=-4.96 PA=2984 WinPct=0.468

The Tier 4/5 boundary for lineups is now -4.10.  Like their relief, lots of guys hovering around zero, a couple pulling it down, and no one pulling it up.  They scored 10 runs yesterday proving no one can predict the future and past results don’t affect future results, they only show capability.

White Sox could have an epiphany and play like this is their World Series where the Cubs just want clinch and go home.  None of that can be measured and modeled mathematically.  We’ll see what happens tonight when we travel into the future.

Final regular season playoff horse race table coming Monday or Tuesday.  Until then ….

Cubs Diamondbacks Matchup

Cubs start a series with Diamondbacks tonight which starts very late (8:40pm) here in CST land.  Let’s take a look see at this Arizona team who still have a shot at a playoff spot with some good fortune.

ARI Team Status

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-10.4 58.5 654 594 78 72 9.8 1.1 ARI

BAT slightly underwater, PITCH very good and ARI is 78-72 = +6 for the season according to the only stat in baseball that matters.  UR among the top of MLB which means they don’t let up very many runs due to errors.  Not much else can be said about this team just looking at their team status record.  Let’s see what the people think about tonight.

Ouija Board

DATE 09_17_9:40_PM CHN ARI

LINEAWAY CHN [ 0.448 ] < 0.444 > +125 $225
STARTAWAY 1.57(0.541) Kyle_Hendricks_CHN TIER 3
--------------------------------------------
LINEHOME ARI [ 0.571 ] < 0.574 > -135 $174
STARTHOME 4.56(0.610) Patrick_Corbin_ARI TIER 1
——————————————–
DELTAWAA 19 WINPCT 0.619 CHN
--------------------------------------------
TIER COMBOS
CHN Lineup 3 ==> ARI Starter 1 / Relief 2 == 0.464 CHN 3.95 runs
ARI Lineup 3 ==> CHN Starter 3 / Relief 1 == 0.536 ARI 4.30 runs

EXPECTED VALUE
TeamID TC dWAA
CHN    104 139
ARI    93 66

The people give Arizona a 57.4% break even probability of winning tonight and the Cubs 44.4%.  Tier Combo simulations favor ARI at 53.6% giving the Cubs a slightly above 100 EV for that category, far below our 120 threshold.  Based upon seasonal wins and losses, completely blind to who is playing tonight, the Cubs should be favored at close to 62% giving them a 139 EV for that category.  We only wave off bets using deltaWAA never make them so both lines an easy discard tonight.

The above tells us that the people still have faith in Arizona.

The CHN lineup was culled from yesterday which was one of their weakest set of players making them Tier 3, average.   Cubs usually field a lineup close to the Tier 1/2 border which will shift the simulations in favor of the Cubs somewhat.

ARI Tier Data

Type Tier Name_Teamid WAA
Lineups 3 ARI 8.04
SP 1 Patrick_Corbin_ARI 4.56
SP 5 Zack_Godley_ARI -2.69
SP 1 Zack_Greinke_ARI 4.33
SP 3 Robbie_Ray_ARI -0.10
RP 2 ARI 9.79

ARI has a couple of aces in Corbin and Greinke and then their SP falls off from there.  Currently the Tier 2/3 border for lineups is at 8.33 so ARI’s lineup is close.  Simulations do not use hard borders however.  Cubs lineup will probably be close to 1 tier above ARI when tonight’s lineups are announced.

ARI Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+054+ 3.53 T.J._McFarland_ARI PITCH
+076+ 2.94 Yoshihisa_Hirano_ARI PITCH
XXXXX 1.57 Andrew_Chafin_ARI PITCH
XXXXX 0.71 Archie_Bradley_ARI PITCH
XXXXX 0.61 Brad_Ziegler_TOT PITCH
XXXXX 0.48 Silvino_Bracho_ARI PITCH
XXXXX 0.36 Jimmie_Sherfy_ARI PITCH
XXXXX -0.17 Randall_Delgado_ARI PITCH
XXXXX -0.32 Jake_Diekman_TOT PITCH
XXXXX -0.38 Yoan_Lopez_ARI PITCH
XXXXX -0.44 Brad_Boxberger_ARI PITCH
XXXXX -0.69 Matt_Koch_ARI PITCH
XXXXX -1.09 Matt_Andriese_TOT PITCH
Total 7.11

Two relievers in top 100 who the Cubs hopefully don’t face when behind.  WAR only has two relievers in top 100; Blake Tiernen #57 and Jared Hughes #95.  This model has 20 with the highest being Blake Treinen of OAK at #18.  Relievers, no matter what inning they usually pitch, are very important to the success of a team.

The above total is for their entire expanded roster relief staff.  The Tier 2/3 border is +9.33 for relief now and their top 7 is above that as shown in the Tier Data table.

ARI Lineup

WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA Sep_16_2:10_PM
-1.76 Jon_Jay_TOT RF-LF-CF 556
2.06 A.J._Pollock_ARI CF 416
2.35 David_Peralta_ARI LF 572
3.00 Paul_Goldschmidt_ARI 1B 650
2.06 Eduardo_Escobar_TOT 3B-SS 587
1.57 Daniel_Descalso_ARI 2B-3B 397
-0.69 Ketel_Marte_ARI 2B-SS 536
0.86 Nick_Ahmed_ARI SS 520
-1.41 Jeff_Mathis_ARI CR 200
Total WAA=8.04 PA=4434 WinPct=0.535

Tier 2/3 boundary for lineups is 8.34/team so the above is very close to that.

That is all for now.  There might be an article coming soon about Giancarlo Stanton who was supposed to break a home run record because he’s playing in Yankees stadium.  Until then ….

Cubs Reds Matchup Part 4

Cubs play the Reds again at Wrigley Field as they wind down the season.  Let’s take a look at the current Reds team once again.

CIN Team Status

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-3.9 -52.0 315 376 28 45 0.1 -1.2 CIN 6/21/2018
28.1 -48.1 407 440 38 49 -7.5 -1.5 CIN 7/6/2018
10.0 -67.9 575 642 56 71 -8.5 -0.6 CIN 8/23/2018
18.3 -89.5 668 760 63 84 -20.4 -0.6 CIN 9/14/2018

The above shows Reds team status records for today and the last three times we did this.  PITCH continues to tank for them but BAT is staying above water.  They went 7-13 in the last three weeks losing 6 games. UR tanked badly making them neck and neck with the Chicago White Sox for worst team fielding.

Ouija Board

DATE 09_14_8:05_PM CIN CHN

LINEAWAY CIN [ 0.317 ] < 0.345 > +190 $290
STARTAWAY -2.37(0.423) Matt_Harvey_TOT TIER 5
--------------------------------------------
LINEHOME CHN [ 0.701 ] < 0.688 > -220 $145
STARTHOME 1.74(0.548) Cole_Hamels_TOT TIER 3
——————————————–
DELTAWAA 45 WINPCT 0.664 CHN
--------------------------------------------
TIER COMBOS
CIN Lineup 3 ==> CHN Starter 3 / Relief 1 == 0.454 CIN 4.30 runs
CHN Lineup 2 ==> CIN Starter 5 / Relief 2 == 0.546 CHN 4.78 runs

EXPECTED VALUE
TeamID TC dWAA
CIN    132 84
CHN    79 103

Cubs are heavily favored in this game at 0.688 break even probability.  TC simulations give the Cubs only 0.546 leading to a rather large Expected Value of 132 betting CIN using that category as reference.  Cubs relief is back to Tier 1 because the code only looks at the top seven relievers for all teams to eliminate bias incurred from expanded rosters.  Cole Hamels, however, is still saddled with his negative TEX value making him Tier 3.  There isn’t anything that can be done about that.  Hamels did have a bad June and that must be reflected in his pitching capability.

The difference between wins and losses between these two teams gives the Cubs a 0.664 probability aligning closely to the market.  This trumps the TCsim EV so both lines a discard.  Hamels is currently pitching much better than Tier 3 and Harvey is pitching like the pitcher who the Mets got rid of earlier in the season.

CIN Tier Data

Type Tier Name_Teamid WAA
Lineups 3 CIN 8.40
SP 5 Homer_Bailey_CIN -4.85
SP 4 Luis_Castillo_CIN -1.87
SP 4 Anthony_DeSclafani_CIN -1.53
SP 5 Matt_Harvey_CIN -2.35
SP 5 Sal_Romano_CIN -3.97
RP 2 CIN 9.91

League average lineup is high at 4.53/team now making the Reds Tier 3, close to Tier 2 above average, based upon their lineup yesterday.  This would be expected based upon their BAT in team status. Lots of bad starters who responsible for dragging down their PITCH in team status.

Relief pitching (RP) league average is +7.30/team after lopping off the bottom half of all relief staffs.  New guys come into the league with a WAA=0 and it takes playing time to move up or down from there.  Since many bad relief pitchers are not being counted the league average rose.  IMHO, this is better than counting 6 pitchers, many of whom are there to sit on the bench or pitch garbage innings.  This will only be done for expanded rosters in September.  Reds used to have a top tier relief staff but players get lackadaisical when losing so much.

CIN Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+042+ 3.82 Jared_Hughes_CIN PITCH
+104+ 2.46 Raisel_Iglesias_CIN PITCH
+113+ 2.37 David_Hernandez_CIN PITCH
XXXXX 1.32 Michael_Lorenzen_CIN PITCH
XXXXX 0.29 Jesus_Reyes_CIN PITCH
XXXXX -0.36 Matt_Wisler_TOT PITCH
XXXXX -0.46 Amir_Garrett_CIN PITCH
XXXXX -0.59 Wandy_Peralta_CIN PITCH
XXXXX -0.63 Cody_Reed_CIN PITCH
XXXXX -1.20 Jackson_Stephens_CIN PITCH
XXXXX -1.22 Lucas_Sims_TOT PITCH
-084- -2.21 Tyler_Mahle_CIN PITCH
Total 3.59

Above is their complete relief staff.  Three guys in the top 200 which isn’t bad.

CIN Lineup

WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA Sep_11_6:40_PM
1.49 Scott_Schebler_CIN RF-CF 363
-0.78 Jose_Peraza_CIN SS 609
3.97 Scooter_Gennett_CIN 2B 576
5.80 Eugenio_Suarez_CIN 3B 539
0.99 Phil_Ervin_CIN LF-RF 196
0.10 Curt_Casali_CIN CR 130
-0.23 Brandon_Dixon_CIN 1B-RF 104
-0.06 Gabriel_Guerrero_CIN BAT 3
-0.67 Luis_Castillo_CIN PR 56
Total WAA=10.60 PA=2576 WinPct=0.579

Above is a Tier 2 lineup from 9/11.  The TC sims used their lineup from 9/12.  Ideally we would wait until lineups come out to do simulations and handicapping but all of this is for academic purposes and can’t wait until this evening to post this.  The above, and even their lineup on 9/12, could cause Cubs’ pitchers some problems.

That is all for today.  Playoff horse race Part 3, the mid September edition, may use today’s data and be posted tonight or tomorrow morning.  Until then ….

Cubs Brewers Matchup Part 3

Cubs play another series with the Brewers.  Brewers are 2 games back so Cubs just need to win one but winning all three would be nice.  Let’s look at this Brewers team.

MIL Team Status

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
-0.9 38.2 284 242 39 26 2.4 2.2 MIL 6/11/2018
8.9 21.8 620 590 77 61 -2.8 2.1 MIL 9/3/2018
13.3 32.2 653 608 82 62 -3.3 2.7 MIL 9/10/2018

Since a week ago when the Cubs last played MIL, Brewers went 5-1 gaining 4 games so they’re on a streak.  Both BAT and PITCH are up but their UR dropped a little.  Let’s hear what the people think of the first game in this series.

Ouija Board

DATE 09_10_8:05_PM MIL CHN

LINEAWAY MIL [ 0.435 ] < 0.446 > +124 $224
STARTAWAY 2.96(0.709) Wade_Miley_MIL TIER 2
--------------------------------------------
LINEHOME CHN [ 0.583 ] < 0.573 > -134 $174
STARTHOME 2.18(0.562) Jon_Lester_CHN TIER 2
——————————————–
DELTAWAA 4 WINPCT 0.542 CHN
--------------------------------------------
TIER COMBOS
MIL Lineup 2 ==> CHN Starter 2 / Relief 3 == 0.522 MIL 4.61 runs
CHN Lineup 2 ==> MIL Starter 2 / Relief 2 == 0.478 CHN 4.38 runs

EXPECTED VALUE
TeamID TC dWAA
MIL    117 103
CHN    83 94

TC simulations have Brewers favored with a break even probability of 0.522 yet the market has Cubs favored at 0.573.  Difference between the two teams according to seasonal wins and losses is 4 giving Cubs the advantage.  Expected Value for MIL is at 117 according to TC simulations, just below our 120 threshold.  Since deltaWAA is much closer to the lines that EV for MIL is only 103 which would wave this off.

Milwaukee has better relief according to the above but that still takes into account expanded rosters.  If you only count the top 7,  Cubs’ relief is probably Tier 1.  This should make CHN favored with TCsims.   The next matchup and Cubs status will only count the top 7 relievers on a staff and compute those averages and deviations league wide.

Both teams have comparable lineups and starters according to current year data.  Wade Miley is having a career year this season. Let’s look at his career according to this data model.

Wade Miley Career

Year WAA Name_TeamID Pos Rank
2011 -0.5 Wade_Miley_ARI PITCH XXXXX
2012 3.3 Wade_Miley_ARI PITCH +073+
2013 1.0 Wade_Miley_ARI PITCH XXXXX
2014 -2.7 Wade_Miley_ARI PITCH -060-
2015 -2.3 Wade_Miley_BOS PITCH -091-
2016 -2.2 Wade_Miley_SEA PITCH -012-
2016 -2.5 Wade_Miley_BAL PITCH -012-
2017 -4.6 Wade_Miley_BAL PITCH -017-
2018 3.0 Wade_Miley_MIL PITCH +071+
Total -7.5

As always, past results don’t affect future results.  They only show proven capability.

MIL Tier Data

Type Tier Name_Teamid WAA
Lineups 2 MIL 12.14
SP 3 Chase_Anderson_MIL 0.57
SP 2 Jhoulys_Chacin_MIL 2.04
SP 3 Gio_Gonzalez_MIL -0.84
SP 3 Junior_Guerra_MIL -0.48
SP 2 Wade_Miley_MIL 2.96
RP 2 MIL 7.60

This starting rotation looks like the Cubs’.  Let’s look at MIL Relief and lineup from yesterday.

MIL Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+032+ 4.35 Jeremy_Jeffress_MIL PITCH
+052+ 3.32 Josh_Hader_MIL PITCH
XXXXX 1.32 Dan_Jennings_MIL PITCH
XXXXX 1.07 Xavier_Cedeno_TOT PITCH
XXXXX 0.84 Joakim_Soria_TOT PITCH
XXXXX 0.80 Corbin_Burnes_MIL PITCH
XXXXX 0.76 Jacob_Barnes_MIL PITCH
XXXXX -0.06 Brandon_Woodruff_MIL PITCH
XXXXX -0.27 Taylor_Williams_MIL PITCH
XXXXX -0.40 Corey_Knebel_MIL PITCH
XXXXX -0.48 Jordan_Lyles_TOT PITCH
XXXXX -0.48 Freddy_Peralta_MIL PITCH
XXXXX -0.80 Zach_Davies_MIL PITCH
-079- -2.27 Matt_Albers_MIL PITCH
Total 7.7

This relief staff might be Tier 1 if we only count the top seven.  Right now league average relief is 1.51 per team with the Tier 2 boundary = 5.1.  These averages are  down from August because of expanded rosters.  Next reports will only count top seven for RP value.  Expanded rosters don’t matter to lineups and starters because they are what they are.

MIL Lineup

WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA Sep_9_2:10_PM
-1.09 Lorenzo_Cain_MIL CF 537
5.82 Christian_Yelich_MIL LF-RF-CF 555
5.84 Jesus_Aguilar_MIL 1B 479
1.07 Ryan_Braun_MIL LF-1B 384
0.42 Jonathan_Schoop_TOT 2B-SS 458
1.26 Mike_Moustakas_TOT 3B-DH 554
-0.61 Hernan_Perez_MIL 2B-RF-3B-LF-SS 304
-0.21 Erik_Kratz_MIL CR 172
-0.36 Zach_Davies_MIL BAT 15
Total WAA=12.14 PA=3458 WinPct=0.567

There is a disagreement with WAR over Lorenzo Cain who is now getting the Darwin Barney treatment.  But that doesn’t matter.  Cain has below average run production and that’s a provable fact.  Yelich and Aguilar are the two power hitters propelling the Brewers.  Their BAT in team status is slightly above average yet this lineup is considered Tier 2, well above average.  Tier 1 boundary is 12.79 so they’re right at that border.

Cubs lineup yesterday was +10.50 but it fluctuates higher some days.  Another Cubs status coming next.  Until then ….

Cubs Nationals Matchup

Missed the first game which the Cubs pulled out in extra innings.  Let’s look at this Nationals team again.

WAS Team Status

BAT PITCH Rs Ra W L UR LR TeamID
14.4 38.9 527 460 59 56 13.6 0.1 WAS 8/11/2018
28.6 15.3 653 591 69 72 16.9 1.1 WAS 9/7/2018

Cubs played these Nationals about a month ago.  Since then their pitching tanked and BAT compensated for that but they still lost 6 games going from +3 to -3 in the win/loss column.  UR up again which is good.

Losing 6 games with an average run differential for that period could be due to lack of motivation from giving up playoff hopes and becoming sellers in the trade market.  This has to be a very real phenomenon but it’s difficult to model mathematically.  Perhaps something to look into in the off season.

Ouija Board

DATE 09_07_7:05_PM CHN WAS

LINEAWAY CHN [ 0.576 ] < 0.574 > -135 $174
STARTAWAY 2.14(0.561) Jon_Lester_CHN TIER 2
--------------------------------------------
LINEHOME WAS [ 0.442 ] < 0.444 > +125 $225
STARTHOME 0.00(NA) Joe_Ross_WAS TIER NA
——————————————–
DELTAWAA 29 WINPCT 0.639 CHN
--------------------------------------------
TIER COMBOS
CHN Lineup 2 ==> WAS Starter 3 / Relief 4 == NO_DATA CHN 4.79 runs
WAS Lineup 2 ==> CHN Starter 2 / Relief 3 == NO_DATA WAS 4.44 runs

EXPECTED VALUE
TeamID TC dWAA
CHN    0 0
WAS    0 0

Washington pitching someone who hasn’t pitched this season (i.e. new guy) so entire game a discard.  Based on runs WAS would be favored but that’s assuming Ross is an average Tier 3 pitcher — which we don’t know.    Lester had a bad July but decent August.  He’s a Tier 2, above average pitcher right now.

WAS Tier Data

Type Tier Name_Teamid WAA
Lineups 2 WAS 9.95
SP 4 Erick_Fedde_WAS -1.45
SP 3 Tanner_Roark_WAS -0.38
SP 3 Joe_Ross_WAS 0.00
SP 1 Max_Scherzer_WAS 8.38
SP 3 Stephen_Strasburg_WAS 0.23
RP 4 WAS -2.92

According to this model it’s between Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer for NL Cy Young.  Relief staff tanked which probably led to the negative PITCH value in the last month.

WAS Relief

Rank WAA Name_TeamID Pos
+187+ 1.68 Matt_Grace_WAS PITCH
XXXXX 0.67 Wander_Suero_WAS PITCH
XXXXX 0.23 Tim_Collins_WAS PITCH
XXXXX 0.19 Justin_Miller_WAS PITCH
XXXXX 0.15 Koda_Glover_WAS PITCH
XXXXX -0.10 Kyle_McGowin_WAS PITCH
XXXXX -0.23 Jimmy_Cordero_WAS PITCH
XXXXX -0.38 Austen_Williams_WAS PITCH
XXXXX -1.05 Austin_Voth_WAS PITCH
XXXXX -1.16 Greg_Holland_TOT PITCH
XXXXX -1.36 Jefry_Rodriguez_WAS PITCH
-160- -1.53 Sammy_Solis_WAS PITCH
Total -2.89

This is an expanded roster relief staff.  Their highest guy is barely in the top 200 so it will probably still be considered Tier 4 even if the bottom half of this list was lopped off.

WAS Lineup

WAA Name_TeamID Pos PA Sep_6_7:05_PM
0.13 Adam_Eaton_WAS RF-LF 310
0.29 Trea_Turner_WAS SS 627
4.56 Bryce_Harper_WAS RF-CF 588
2.44 Anthony_Rendon_WAS 3B 492
2.90 Juan_Soto_WAS LF 397
1.78 Mark_Reynolds_WAS 1B-3B 186
-0.36 Wilmer_Difo_WAS 2B-3B 392
-0.97 Spencer_Kieboom_WAS CR 107
-0.82 Stephen_Strasburg_WAS PR 39
Total WAA=9.95 PA=3138 WinPct=0.561

League average lineup is now +3.49 and the Tier 2/3 border is +7.57 thus this is a Tier 2 above average lineup.  Cubs lineup yesterday was +8.90.

That is all for now.  Until then ….