Apparently the Cubs play the White Sox in their final 3 games of this 2020 exhibition season. In past seasons there would be a lot of copy/pasting of tables but now we can just copy/paste links.

Click here for team status.

Not as concise but you can see the Cubs struggling in the BAT category and CHA with good BAT and very good PITCH. Lineups align with BAT for both teams. White Sox have better relief than Cubs who are around league average.

Cubs starting one of the best pitchers in MLB this season, Yu Darvish, who is currently ranked #6. Dylan Cease, former Cubs prospect traded in the Quintana acquisition is unranked but above average.

All this boils down into Tier Combos used in simulation giving White Sox a 58% chance of winning today despite Darvish on the mound. Cubs lineup is very underwater at tier -1.58. The new tier combo table shows a color coded comparison between the two teams.

Vegas has Cubs heavily favored at 63.6% making CHA a definite betting opportunity. White Sox are on a 5 game losing streak which may factor into the Vegas line.

Right now White Sox are receiving normal home field advantage which is baked into simulation and cannot be removed for many reasons; the best being this is a one off season and removing it causes a lot of complication in the code base. It is unclear whether or not there is home field advantage with no fans in the stands and with players from both teams sleeping in their home city.

This model favored CHA against Cleveland these last three days going against Vegas and was wrong each game. Losing streaks happen and right now this data model doesn’t correct for them. The results from TC Sim and the Tier Combo table should be considered advisory understanding that this data model compiles probabilities based upon historical data. If you flip a coin heads 4 times in a row the probability of the next flip being heads is the same as the first flip.

That is all for now. Game starts in 20 minutes. Despite what this model says, Go Cubs! Until then ….

Cubs are in the middle of a 3 game set with the Reds in Cincinnati and this game is kind of interesting so let’s have a look at these two teams again at the beginning of day on August 18, 1984.,

NL_East 19840817

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR
CHN	70	51	60.3	-1.6	7.8
NYN	67	51	-59.6	45.4	-18.2
PHI	63	56	10.8	56.4	-27.2
WAS	60	60	-62.7	61.4	10.8
SLN	60	60	-56.6	40.4	7.8
PIT	52	70	-53.7	71.4	7.8

Cubs in first but only by 1 1/2 games ( 3 WAA ) ahead of the Mets.  Cubs PITCH has improved to almost exactly even steven based upon run differential.   This means the number of runs scored against them minus Unearned Runs is almost exactly the team league average for all 24 teams on this day.

Let’s look at the Reds team status who happen to be in the NL West even though they reside east of Chicago.

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR
CIN	52	71	-50.3	-66.5	-0.5

Bad everything about this team right now.  Let’s dive down further into this game.

Tier Data

	WAA	Vegas	TC Sim	EV	L	S	R
CHN	19	X	0.659	X	4.00	-1.74	0.53
CIN	-18	X	0.341	X	-2.96	-0.20	-3.97

Cubs have a maxed out Tier 4.00 lineup, Reds have an almost maxed out Tier -4.00 under water Relief staff.  Reds Lineup well under water as well.  The differences in WAA, Lineup, Starter, and Relief get fed into Tier Combo simulation which give Cubs a 66% advantage today.  Vegas lines would 

Starters

Rank	WAA	IP	Name	TeamId	Rest	Tier
-115-	-1.57	183.3	Rick_Sutcliffe	CHN	6	-1.74
XXXXX	0.17	2.0	Ron_Robinson	CIN	4	-0.20

This is Ron Robinson’s first start of his career.  Sutcliffe still climbing out of the hole he dug himself in Cleveland at the beginning of this season.  Let’s see what happens.

Line Scores

TeamID	Linescore	R	TB	H	E
CHN	710 001 040	13	33	15	1
CIN	100 310 222	11	18	16	5

Cubs pound 7 runs off Robinson in the first knocking him out after pitching one out.  Six of those 7 runs were unearned as the Reds commit 5 errors in this game. Sutcliffe gives up 5 runs in 5 innings which isn’t good but he gets the W regardless.  Relief on both sides give up a flurry of runs. Had the Reds not made so many errors Cubs would have lost this game due to poor pitching.

CHN Lineup 198408180

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	0.42	Bob_Dernier	CF	455
+023+	4.01	Ryne_Sandberg	2B	534
+038+	3.57	Gary_Matthews	LF	464
+009+	5.48	Leon_Durham	1B	402
+100+	2.12	Keith_Moreland	RF	388
+051+	3.25	Ron_Cey	3B	431
+063+	2.86	Jody_Davis	CR	449
-017-	-3.36	Larry_Bowa	SS	324
XXXXX	-0.61	Rick_Sutcliffe	PR	37
TOTAL	17.74

CIN Lineup 198408180

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	-0.99	Gary_Redus	CF	377
XXXXX	-0.76	Pete_Rose	1B	318
+136+	1.64	Dave_Parker	RF	494
XXXXX	1.16	Cesar_Cedeno	LF	244
XXXXX	-0.02	Brad_Gulden	CR	231
-046-	-2.42	Dave_Concepcion	3B	455
-029-	-2.98	Ron_Oester	2B	433
XXXXX	-1.16	Tom_Foley	SS	244
XXXXX	0.00	Ron_Robinson	PR	0
TOTAL	-5.53

Lineups are what you would expect based upon each team’s BAT number in teams status above.

CHN START Roster 19840818

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
-115-	-1.56	Rick_Sutcliffe	183.3	0
-129-	-1.41	Dick_Ruthven	98.0	1
-145-	-1.28	Dennis_Eckersley	171.0	3
XXXXX	0.17	Steve_Trout	137.3	4
+131+	1.74	Scott_Sanderson	93.3	5
TOTAL	-2.34

This is actually improving from the last time Cubs starting rotation was posted. Sutcliffe is going to take another hit on his WAA after this game. He does recover it all and some by the end of the season as we’ll see in the next 6 weeks.

CIN START Roster 19840818

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
XXXXX	0.17	Ron_Robinson	2.0	0
+118+	1.91	Mario_Soto	185.3	1
+114+	1.91	Jay_Tibbs	53.7	3
XXXXX	-0.23	Jeff_Russell	141.0	4
XXXXX	0.86	Andy_McGaffigan	56.7	6
TOTAL	4.62

CHN RELIEF Roster 19840818

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
XXXXX	0.97	Lee_Smith	75.0	0
XXXXX	0.92	Tim_Stoddard	74.7	0
XXXXX	-0.36	George_Frazier	83.3	1
TOTAL	1.53

Might have to check the code because 3 relievers seems kind of low.  If there are more on the roster then some guys have been riding the bench for more than a week.  Notice that Rick Reuschel is missing again.  In modern baseball these rosters are filled with at least 8 player, all playing frequently.

CIN RELIEF Roster 19840818

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
-013-	-3.55	Tom_Hume	92.7	0
-098-	-1.72	Bob_Owchinko	77.3	0
+156+	1.32	Johnny_Franco	61.7	0
-004-	-5.29	Frank_Pastore	84.7	0
XXXXX	1.03	Ted_Power	87.3	3
XXXXX	0.17	Ron_Robinson	2.0	4
TOTAL	-8.04

This concurs with CIN PITCH in team status.

That’s all for now.  Reports similar to this with more handicapping detail  will soon be up for all games at baseball-handbook.com.  

We’re also approaching the 2020 season halfway point at which player ranking can begin in eanrest.  More on that later.  Until then ….

Cubs start yet another 4 game set with the Expos in Montreal after finishing a 4 game series with them 4 days ago at Wrigley Field  Schedulers haven’t been very creative this season.  Not much will have changed since we covered that series here except the Cubs are now solidly in first place after sweeping the Mets.

Note: The Expos have the WAS franchise tag because they move to Washington to become the Nationals and win a World Series one day.

NL East 19840808

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR
CHN	68	45	74.7	-7.5	6.1
NYN	62	48	-42.7	31.5	-11.9
PHI	60	52	26.2	38.5	-29.9
SLN	56	57	-42.7	22.5	5.1
WAS	54	58	-67.3	49.5	12.1
PIT	49	65	-48.3	65.5	5.1

Cubs hitting way up since the beginning of Mets series which will show up in their lineup below.  Expos hitting is declining but pitching pretty good which we’ll also see below.

Tier Combo

	WAA	Vegas	TC Sim	EV	L	S	R
CHN	23	X	0.554	X	3.38	-1.91	-1.19
WAS	-4	X	0.446	X	-0.64	1.96	-1.43

TC Sim gives Cubs a 55% advantage today.  I would have expected it to be higher but Cubs Lineup is far less than their usual maxed out Tier 4.00 which means they’re probably resting players today.  Expos have a starter advantage today and both relief squads equally under water.

Starters

Rank	WAA	IP	Name	TeamId	Rest	Tier
-061-	-2.06	154.0	Dennis_Eckersley	CHN	5	-1.91
+077+	2.39	81.0	Dan_Schatzeder	WAS	5	1.96

We know from being in the future that Eckersley will have a great end to this season.  Those not from the future wouldn’t know this.  Vegas lines would tell us what people are thinking about both these teams right now but we don’t have that data.  Let’s see what happens.

Line Scores

TeamID	Linescore	R	TB	H	E
CHN	000 000 000 0	0	4	4	2
WAS	000 000 000 1	1	7	6	2

Now this is a true pitching duel.  Eckersley pitches a complete 9 innings letting up no runs.   Schatzeder pitches 10 innings letting up no runs and actually gets a W that was truly earned.  Apparently Expos manager didn’t want to let their under water relief staff lose this one — and neither did Frey but he succumbed in the 10th.

CHN Lineup 198408090

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	0.92	Bob_Dernier	CF	428
+012+	4.41	Ryne_Sandberg	2B	512
+040+	3.28	Gary_Matthews	LF	435
+082+	2.33	Keith_Moreland	1B	355
+042+	3.25	Jody_Davis	CR	422
XXXXX	-0.42	Henry_Cotto	RF	119
+039+	3.34	Ron_Cey	3B	399
-023-	-3.00	Larry_Bowa	SS	311
XXXXX	-0.55	Dennis_Eckersley	PR	34
TOTAL	13.56

Leon Durham missing today but he did come in late to pinch hit.  Sandberg must have had a good series with the Mets because he’s almost in top ten of MLB, ranked #12, his highest ranking this season.

WAS Lineup 198408090

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	0.61	Tim_Raines	CF	492
XXXXX	-0.23	Max_Venable	LF	15
+151+	1.34	Andre_Dawson	RF	397
+038+	3.34	Gary_Carter	CR	460
XXXXX	-0.08	Dan_Driessen	1B	284
XXXXX	0.23	Tim_Wallach	3B	445
-021-	-3.04	Doug_Flynn	2B	273
XXXXX	-0.55	Mike_Ramsey	SS	38
XXXXX	-0.27	Dan_Schatzeder	PR	21
TOTAL	1.35

This is a slightly below average lineup based on today’s league average for lineups.

CHN START Roster 19840809

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
-061-	-2.06	Dennis_Eckersley	154.0	0
XXXXX	0.42	Steve_Trout	132.3	1
+155+	1.32	Scott_Sanderson	85.0	2
-096-	-1.58	Rick_Sutcliffe	174.3	2
-117-	-1.43	Dick_Ruthven	84.7	3
TOTAL	-3.33

Sanderson back.  Numbers above are from beginning of today which are what you would know in order to bet this game.  Eckersley will be much higher tomorrow which we’ll see in our next matchup post.4 days from now.

WAS START Roster 19840809

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
+077+	2.39	Dan_Schatzeder	81.0	0
XXXXX	0.25	Bill_Gullickson	149.0	1
+076+	2.42	Bryn_Smith	145.0	2
-009-	-3.63	Steve_Rogers	105.3	2
+020+	3.76	Charlie_Lea	171.7	3
TOTAL	5.19

Three decent starters.  If Expos had half way decent hitting and relief they would be in contention with this starting rotation.

CHN RELIEF Roster 19840809

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
XXXXX	0.02	George_Frazier	79.6	0
XXXXX	0.73	Lee_Smith	73.3	1
XXXXX	-0.04	Warren_Brusstar	47.7	1
+143+	1.43	Tim_Stoddard	71.7	1
-028-	-2.79	Rick_Reuschel	81.0	4
TOTAL	-0.65

Frazier gave up the only run in this game today.

WAS RELIEF Roster 19840809

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
+103+	1.93	Jeff_Reardon	61.7	1
XXXXX	-0.57	Bob_James	62.0	2
XXXXX	0.08	Joe_Hesketh	1.0	2
XXXXX	-0.40	Rick_Grapenthin	5.0	2
+134+	1.57	Gary_Lucas	48.3	3
-009-	-3.63	Steve_Rogers	105.3	5
TOTAL	-1.02

Expos have excellent PITCH based upon seasonal run differential but it isn’t because of their relief staff.

That’s all for now.  The 2020 data portal starting with a very rough draft prototype of game day handicapping service almost ready.  This will allow you to keep track of any game this season, in progress or in the past.  More on this later.  Until then ….

Cubs play the Mets once again in another 4 game series at Wrigley Field.  Cubs took 3 out of 4 from the Expos but Mets kept the pace and the two teams still very close in NL East.  Let’s look at these two teams again.

NL East 19840805

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR
CHN	64	45	58.2	-5.9	8.5
NYN	62	44	-46.7	46.1	-9.5
PHI	58	50	28.2	31.1	-28.5
SLN	55	55	-36.2	19.1	3.5
WAS	52	56	-61.8	48.1	11.5
PIT	47	64	-43.8	60.1	3.5

Pretty much same with respect to BAT, PITCH, and UR for both Mets and Cubs when these two teams last met at end of July.  Seasonal run differential numbers move at a glacial pace for all teams in a league.

This late in the season roster value can be much different than what seasonal run differential may suggest.

Tier Combo

	WAA	Vegas	TC Sim	EV	L	S	R
NYN	18	X	0.459	X	-1.60	1.68	3.37
CHN	19	X	0.541	X	4.00	-1.61	-1.76

Tier Combo simulation giving Cubs a 54% advantage today which is exactly home field advantage if you knew nothing about either team playing.  We do, however, know a few things about both teams.

Cubs again with a top of MLB maxed out Tier 4.00 lineup which concurs with their BAT in team status above.  Mets starting a better pitcher today and have much better relief which we’ll see below.  This also concurs with their excellent PITCH in team status.

Pitching kept the Mets at the top of NL East this season, hitting has kept the Cubs on top this year so far.

Starters

Rank	WAA	IP	Name	TeamId	Rest	Tier
+096+	2.06	138.0	Dwight_Gooden	NYN	5	1.68
-095-	-1.68	79.0	Dick_Ruthven	CHN	5	-1.61

Luckily for Ruthven he faces an equally under water Mets lineups.  That matchup is even steven.   Dwight Gooden must face Cubs massive maxed out lineup today.  Let’s see what happens.

Line Scores

TeamID	Linescore	R	TB	H	E
NYN	000102000	3	15	9	0
CHN	20401002	9	26	13	1

The Cubs top of MLB lineup tags Gooden for 5 earned runs and they knock him out after 4 innings.  Ruthven gives up 1 earned and 2 unearned runs in 5 2/3 innings.  That 1 error in the E column resulted in 2 runs for the Mets.  On average there are almost exactly 2 errors per unearned run based upon all runs in the history of baseball post 1900.

Dwight Gooden had a bad day today but he finishes this season strong ranked #10 in his first year in MLB.  He has many great years following this one as well.  Next year, in 1985, he’s ranked #1 by this data model and WAR.

NYN Lineup 198408060

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	-0.99	Wally_Backman	2B	348
XXXXX	-0.82	Mookie_Wilson	CF	412
+158+	1.32	Keith_Hernandez	1B	438
+079+	2.29	Darryl_Strawberry	RF	410
XXXXX	1.11	George_Foster	LF	397
XXXXX	-0.69	Hubie_Brooks	3B	407
-081-	-1.83	Mike_Fitzgerald	CR	249
XXXXX	-0.63	Rafael_Santana	SS	67
XXXXX	-0.80	Dwight_Gooden	PR	52
TOTAL	-1.04

CHN Lineup 198408060

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	0.78	Bob_Dernier	CF	413
+020+	3.93	Ryne_Sandberg	2B	493
+035+	3.23	Gary_Matthews	LF	421
+004+	5.04	Leon_Durham	1B	368
+130+	1.64	Keith_Moreland	RF	337
+056+	2.75	Jody_Davis	CR	409
+048+	2.90	Ron_Cey	3B	384
XXXXX	-0.46	Dave_Owen	SS	82
XXXXX	-0.29	Dick_Ruthven	PR	32
TOTAL	19.52

Lineup value keeps rising for Cubs.  Keith Moreland makes it into top 160 for first time this season.

The above are values at the start of today; what you would know sitting in the grandstands at Wrigley waiting for this game to start.

NYN START Roster 19840806

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
+096+	2.06	Dwight_Gooden	138.0	0
+152+	1.39	Sid_Fernandes	34.3	1
-024-	-2.79	Bruce_Berenyi	111.7	2
+046+	2.92	Walt_Terrell	145.3	3
+124+	1.72	Ron_Darling	141.3	4
TOTAL	5.30

An above average staff.  Individual starters are tiered per game for simulation so the staff totals above are for informational purposes and used as a column in horse race tables to determine total team roster value.

CHN START Roster 19840806

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
-095-	-1.68	Dick_Ruthven	79.0	0
+160+	1.28	Rich_Bordi	72.0	1
-070-	-1.93	Dennis_Eckersley	154.0	2
XXXXX	0.76	Steve_Trout	126.0	3
XXXXX	-0.92	Rick_Sutcliffe	167.6	4
TOTAL	-2.49

Not much different than from last time but Steve Trout is back.  Eckersley will be much higher next time we see him (just a hunch 🙂

NYN RELIEF Roster 19840806

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
+132+	1.60	Brent_Gaff	43.7	0
+047+	2.90	Doug_Sisk	65.3	0
XXXXX	0.38	Wes_Gardner	4.3	1
+088+	2.16	Jesse_Orosco	61.7	2
XXXXX	-0.10	Tom_Gorman	41.0	2
TOTAL	6.94

This is a very good relief staff.  At Tier 3.37 they are over 1 1/2 standard deviations above league average for team relief.  Relief wasn’t the problem in this game even though the Cubs tagged them for 3 runs.  Cubs got all the runs they needed to win from Gooden.

CHN RELIEF Roster 19840806

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
XXXXX	-0.06	Warren_Brusstar	44.7	0
+126+	1.68	Tim_Stoddard	67.0	0
-026-	-2.77	Rick_Reuschel	81.0	1
XXXXX	0.46	Lee_Smith	70.0	1
XXXXX	-0.19	George_Frazier	77.3	2
TOTAL	-0.88

Cubs relief is under water again because Rick Reuschel has returned. Reuschel had a great career but 1984 wasn’t a very good year for him as he finishes ranked #55 in the bottom 160, a list no one wants to be #1.

From our position in the future we know Cubs sweep this series to take a commanding 4 1/2 ( 9 WAA ) game lead over Mets in first place when they start yet another weekend series with the Expos on 8/9.

That is all for now.  Some 2020 season coverage of how TC simulation is working using historical data coming next.  Until then ….

After winning 2 out of 3 from Phillies and Mets losing 3 in a row Cubs have slid into first place at the beginning of August, the beginning of the final third of any baseball season.  Today Cubs start a weekend series with the Expos so let’s take a look at these two teams to get an idea what the next 4 days will bring.

NL East 19840801

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR
CHN	61	44	57.1	-8.2	8.0
NYN	59	43	-47.3	41.8	-9.0
PHI	56	48	28.6	28.8	-29.0
SLN	53	53	-33.3	19.8	2.0
WAS	51	53	-59.4	49.8	11.0
PIT	46	61	-39.4	59.8	4.0

Here are the NL East standings at end of day yesterday which would be what your read in the newspaper when waiting for this game to start in the grandstands at Wrigley Field.

Expos (WAS) have terrible BAT and very good PITCH which we’ll see why as we dig down further into this team. The Montreal Expos will one day become the Washington Nationals which is why they are listed under the WAS franchise tag.

Tier Combo

	WAA	Vegas	TC Sim	EV	L	S	R
WAS	-2	X	0.364	X	-0.36	2.58	-3.12
CHN	17	X	0.636	X	4.00	-1.12	-0.85

Tiers represent how far above or below current league averages for today’s {L}ineups, (S}tarter, and {R}elief.  Lineups get matched with opposing team Starter and Relief and entered into a simulation which runs one million iterations of this game drawing from similar historical data.

Tier Combo simulation gives Cubs an almost 64% advantage today.  If Vegas lines were below 64% Cubs would be a betting opportunity.  If above Expos’ 36% they would be a betting opportunity.  The Expected Value (EV) column calculates how good of a bet it is if you assume the probability generated from TC simulation is correct.  We don’t have data for how Vegas handicapped this game.

Cubs are way ahead in win/loss column (WAA), have a maxed out tier 4.00 lineup today which is 2 complete standard deviations above current league average for team lineups.  Expos have a better starter but much worse relief.

Starters

Rank	WAA	IP	Name	TeamId	Rest	Tier
+039+	3.13	133.0	Bryn_Smith	WAS	5	2.58
XXXXX	-1.16	159.3	Rick_Sutcliffe	CHN	5	-1.12

Sutcliffe is under water from a terrible start to this season at Cleveland.   Cubs are reaping all the benefit from his rise.  Simulation does not give out mulligans nor does it know the future.  Since we’re from the future we know Sutcliffe wins a Cy Young award this season and for good reasons.  Right now, with what we know today, Expos have a starter advantage.

Line Scores

TeamID	Linescore	R	TB	H	E
WAS	000020000	2	17	8	0
CHN	00010110	3	11	6	0

And this becomes somewhat of a pitchers duel. here.  Sutcliffe pitches 8 1/3 allowing only 2 earned runs so his numbers will go up again tomorrow. Smith pitches all 8 innings, all 3 runs earned.

WAS Lineup 198408020

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	1.07	Tim_Raines	CF	460
XXXXX	-0.13	Max_Venable	LF	5
+154+	1.32	Andre_Dawson	RF	368
+032+	3.30	Gary_Carter	CR	428
XXXXX	-0.13	Dan_Driessen	1B	263
XXXXX	0.36	Tim_Wallach	3B	414
XXXXX	-0.21	Derrell_Thomas	SS	163
-026-	-2.75	Doug_Flynn	2B	245
XXXXX	-0.50	Bryn_Smith	PR	49
TOTAL	2.33

Although WAS has an above 0 Total, this late in the season that is more than 1/2 standard deviation below league average.

CHN Lineup 198408020

Rank	WAA	Name	Pos	PA
XXXXX	-0.65	Henry_Cotto	CF	95
+015+	4.20	Ryne_Sandberg	2B	476
+031+	3.36	Gary_Matthews	LF	405
+006+	4.75	Leon_Durham	1B	352
XXXXX	0.92	Keith_Moreland	RF	321
+064+	2.58	Jody_Davis	CR	398
+054+	2.77	Ron_Cey	3B	370
-020-	-2.98	Larry_Bowa	SS	303
XXXXX	-0.50	Rick_Sutcliffe	PR	27
TOTAL	14.45

This is very similar to all the other CHN lineups shown here before.

WAS START Roster 19840802

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
+039+	3.13	Bryn_Smith	133.0	0
+018+	3.99	Charlie_Lea	163.7	1
-007-	-4.20	Steve_Rogers	96.0	2
+055+	2.75	Dan_Schatzeder	77.3	3
XXXXX	0.00	Bill_Gullickson	135.7	4
TOTAL	5.67

Three excellent starters and one not so good.

CHN START Roster 19840802

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
XXXXX	-1.14	Rick_Sutcliffe	159.3	0
-090-	-1.66	Dick_Ruthven	79.0	1
+125+	1.57	Rich_Bordi	68.0	2
-042-	-2.29	Dennis_Eckersley	147.4	3
XXXXX	1.05	Scott_Sanderson	81.0	4
TOTAL	-2.47

For some reason Steve Trout is missing as well as Rick Reuschel.

WAS RELIEF Roster 19840802

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
XXXXX	1.07	Gary_Lucas	42.3	1
+157+	1.28	Jeff_Reardon	54.0	2
XXXXX	-0.17	Bob_James	59.0	3
-007-	-4.20	Steve_Rogers	96.0	4
TOTAL	-2.02

CHN RELIEF Roster 19840802

Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Rest
XXXXX	0.25	Lee_Smith	67.3	0
XXXXX	-0.34	George_Frazier	75.0	1
XXXXX	-0.23	Warren_Brusstar	42.7	2
+115+	1.74	Tim_Stoddard	65.0	2
TOTAL	1.42

A very slightly above average relief squad based on seasonal numbers but almost 1/2 standard deviation below current league average for team relief.

That’s all for now.  Cubs take 3 out of 4 in this series and will host the Mets on August 6 which we’ll cover.

More coverage of the year 2020 season coming.  The simulator is up and running well.  Handicapping early games using 3 year historical data looks unexpectedly good.  A very rough prototype portal into all data in this model is very close to a beginning.  More to come soon.  Until then ….