Tag Archives: salary analysis

Mike Trout Career

Mike Trout

Mike Trout just signed a 6 year $144.5M contract with the Angels.  Here are his career numbers according to this data model.  His WAA, the number of wins he brings his team, is very good, but far less than what Miguel Cabrera produces.

Year WAA BA OBP PA RBI R Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2010 -1.2 0.306 0.388 232 19 30 Mike_Trout_Rancho_Cucamonga_Quakes_ANA_cal BAT
2011 1.6 0.326 0.414 412 38 82 Mike_Trout_Arkansas_Travelers_ANA_tex BAT
2011 0.7 0.220 0.281 135 16 20 Mike_Trout_ANA BAT
2012 1.1 0.403 0.467 93 13 21 Mike_Trout_Salt_Lake_Bees_ANA_pcl BAT
2012 7.6 0.326 0.399 639 83 129 Mike_Trout_ANA BAT
2013 6.1 0.323 0.432 716 97 109 Mike_Trout_ANA BAT

Is Homer Bailey worth $17.5M/year?

It’s hard to say. Here are Homer Bailey’s stats compared with Mat Latos, the Reds’ best pitcher in 2013.  Homer Bailey did perform above average the last two years so perhaps the Reds are betting he trends upwards.

Homer Bailey

Year WAA IP ERA G W L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2007 -1.4 45.3 5.76 9 4 2 Homer_Bailey_CIN PITCH
2008 -3.2 36.3 7.93 8 0 6 Homer_Bailey_CIN PITCH
2009 -0.7 113.3 4.53 20 8 5 Homer_Bailey_CIN PITCH
2010 -1.1 109.0 4.46 19 4 3 Homer_Bailey_CIN PITCH
2011 -1.7 132.0 4.43 22 9 7 Homer_Bailey_CIN PITCH
2012 1.6 208.0 3.68 33 13 10 Homer_Bailey_CIN PITCH
2013 1.7 209.0 3.49 32 11 12 Homer_Bailey_CIN PITCH

Career WAA PITCH Value = -4.8

Mat Latos

Throwing out his brief appearance in 2009 Latos is averaging +3.2 WAA/season and pretty consistent with no violent performance swings year to year

Year WAA IP ERA G W L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2009 -0.4 50.7 4.62 10 4 5 Mat_Latos_SDN PITCH
2010 5.1 184.7 2.92 31 14 10 Mat_Latos_SDN PITCH
2011 2.2 194.3 3.47 31 9 14 Mat_Latos_SDN PITCH
2012 2.6 209.3 3.48 33 14 4 Mat_Latos_CIN PITCH
2013 3.4 210.7 3.16 32 14 7 Mat_Latos_CIN PITCH

Career WAA PITCH Value = 12.9

Would you pay Edwin Jackson $13M/year?

The next installments describing the kind of stats that can be derived by traversing Event Data as well as Data Modeling are coming. Threads of posts on this site will be intertwined with each other.

The Chicago Cubs gave Edwin Jackson a $13/year contract for several years. I do not have enough past salary data to create a system that determines what a player should be paid. One value this rating system provides is an accurate picture of a player’s past performance so that  career trends can be easily visualized. A good foundation of the past makes it possible to create a more accurate risk model to help navigate the future.

Was Edwin Jackson worth $13/year when signed in 2012?  His best year was in 2009.

Note:  When a player plays for several teams in a single season  WAA must be added together to get a season total for season level comparison.

Edwin Jackson

Year WAA BA/IP OBP/ERA PA/G RBI/W R/L Name_Tm BAT/PITCH
2003 1.0 22.0 2.45 4 2 1 Edwin_Jackson_LAN PITCH
2004 -1.7 24.7 7.30 8 2 1 Edwin_Jackson_LAN PITCH
2005 -1.4 28.7 6.28 7 2 2 Edwin_Jackson_LAN PITCH
2006 -3.1 73.0 5.55 22 3 7 Edwin_Jackson_Durham_Bulls_TBA_int PITCH
2006 -0.8 36.3 5.45 23 0 0 Edwin_Jackson_TBA PITCH
2007 -4.8 161.0 5.76 32 5 15 Edwin_Jackson_TBA PITCH
2008 -0.6 183.3 4.42 32 14 11 Edwin_Jackson_TBA PITCH
2009 3.6 214.0 3.62 33 13 9 Edwin_Jackson_DET PITCH
2010 -3.4 134.3 5.16 21 6 10 Edwin_Jackson_ARI PITCH
2010 1.5 75.0 3.24 11 4 2 Edwin_Jackson_CHA PITCH
2011 -0.0 121.7 3.92 19 7 7 Edwin_Jackson_CHA PITCH
2011 0.6 78.0 3.58 13 5 2 Edwin_Jackson_SLN PITCH
2012 -0.4 189.7 4.03 31 10 11 Edwin_Jackson_WAS PITCH
2013 -4.7 175.3 4.98 31 8 18 Edwin_Jackson_CHN PITCH